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Forum > Oceania AA Leagues > Oceania AA #4 > Alpha Season 4, Day 3 Team Scores
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Rank . Team . Score
1 Sacred Haven Knights 19.21
2 GERMAN WILDDOGS 18.51
3 Sunshine Coast Condors 17.41
4 Future Llamas of America 17.19
5 Sandersville WarChickens 17.17
6 Lincoln Breeze 16.84
7 Jamaican Souljahs 16.07
8 Saipan Storm 16.07
9 South Sydney Rabid Rabbitohs 16.01
10 Nottingham Hoods 15.97
11 Berlin Devine Right 15.90
12 Hawthorn Headhunters 15.63
13 Redcliff Razamanaz 14.00
14 The Practice Squad 13.81
15 Solomon Islands Pack 13.41
16 Wellington Assassins 6.98


Rank . Team . Net Change
1 GERMAN WILDDOGS 1.30
2 Solomon Islands Pack 1.17
3 Redcliff Razamanaz 0.90
4 Future Llamas of America 0.90
5 Nottingham Hoods 0.88
6 South Sydney Rabid Rabbitohs 0.79
7 Sacred Haven Knights 0.72
8 Sandersville WarChickens 0.71
9 Wellington Assassins 0.64
10 Berlin Devine Right 0.59
11 Sunshine Coast Condors 0.59
12 The Practice Squad 0.48
13 Jamaican Souljahs 0.44
14 Hawthorn Headhunters 0.34
15 Lincoln Breeze 0.25
16 Saipan Storm (0.18)


Net change is since this http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=725775
Last edited Aug 4, 2008 11:58:27
 
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As stated many times, this is a base score of your team's potential. Individual player builds and game plans are the other pieces of the puzzle for who is likely to win a given game.
 
Dachpappe
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again...much appreciated! good stuff.
 
Ahoda
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I just don't get how you get this info. But thanks for the write up. My team is 2 - 0 and we are ranked #11 and we beat the #3 and #6 team. So I guess that means we are doing something right.
 
Sarcoth
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Originally posted by Ahoda
I just don't get how you get this info. But thanks for the write up. My team is 2 - 0 and we are ranked #11 and we beat the #3 and #6 team. So I guess that means we are doing something right.


It certainly does. By Jerry's statistics, I'm mostly concerned about those teams within 2 points of my own team's ranking. Those games will be intense. I'm not saying that it can't be done by teams with more than a 2 pt gap, but that is where serious game planning and player builds are going to come into effect.
 
Dachpappe
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Originally posted by Ahoda
I just don't get how you get this info.


http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=670450
 
Go_Blue
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Originally posted by Ahoda
I just don't get how you get this info. But thanks for the write up. My team is 2 - 0 and we are ranked #11 and we beat the #3 and #6 team. So I guess that means we are doing something right.


In the end it doesn't really matter because you know what they say...

...if you're not first, you're last!

Good job beating those teams above you though.
 
Dachpappe
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Hey Jerry,

read this? http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=760667

Originally posted by DaSaintFan

Worksheet URL: http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p8W5e7zlQENZK2yr54zs7OQ

TEAM POINTS YARDS YPP Off. Ranking Points Allowed Yards Allowed DYPP Def. Ranking Overall Ranking Last Week Change
1 Guadalcanal Gunners 77.25 1352.5 17.50809061 1 9.5 664 69.89473684 2 1.5
2 Tasmania Swarm 78.75 1508.5 19.15555556 3 0 316.5 #DIV/0! 1 2
3 Devonport Devils 57 1115.5 19.57017544 4 14.25 721.5 50.63157895 6 5
4 Sunshine Coast Condors 52.5 1199.5 22.84761905 9 14 829 59.21428571 4 6.5
5 Nottingham Hoods 63 1374.5 21.81746032 5 18.25 659.5 36.1369863 10 7.5
5 Hawthorn Headhunters 36 805.5 22.375 7 21 935 44.52380952 8 7.5

7 Fiji Flying Foxes 69.75 1293 18.53763441 2 22.75 735 32.30769231 14 8
8 Alice Springs Rock Wallabies 45.75 1064 23.2568306 10 13.75 688 50.03636364 7 8.5
9 Jamaican Souljahs 40.5 1101 27.18518519 16 16.25 855 52.61538462 5 10.5
10 DHARMA Initiative 45.75 1134 24.78688525 11 29.75 1027 34.5210084 12 11.5
10 GERMAN WILDDOGS 42.75 1140 26.66666667 14 18.75 715 38.13333333 9 11.5
10 Berlin Devine Right 25.5 875 34.31372549 20 14.25 906.5 63.61403509 3 11.5
13 Sacred Haven Knights 40.5 1052 25.97530864 13 20.75 720.5 34.72289157 11 12
14 Future Llamas of America 55.5 1243 22.3963964 8 14.25 424 29.75438596 17 12.5

15 Brisbane Troyfins 38.25 1021 26.69281046 15 28 929 33.17857143 13 14
16 Newcastle Mountain Lions 38.25 1087.5 28.43137255 18 32.5 1033.5 31.8 15 16.5
17 Redcliffe Sharks 66 1468.5 22.25 6 48.75 1055 21.64102564 30 18
18 Solomon Islands Pack 49.5 1388.5 28.05050505 17 37.25 1046.5 28.09395973 20 18.5
19 El Rancherito Mantas 23.25 728 31.31182796 19 42 1099.5 26.17857143 23 21
19 Lincoln Breeze 26.25 994 37.86666667 23 35 1014 28.97142857 19 21
21 Sandersville WarChickens 57.75 1433.5 24.82251082 12 28.25 603.5 21.36283186 31 21.5
22 Saipan Storm 27.75 1006.5 36.27027027 22 37.5 1014.5 27.05333333 22 22
23 Perth Pirates 10.5 831.5 79.19047619 30 56.5 1723 30.49557522 16 23
24 South Sydney Rabid Rabbitohs 36 1235.5 34.31944444 21 43.5 1059 24.34482759 26 23.5

25 Hamilton Falcons 24 1041.5 43.39583333 24 35 908.5 25.95714286 24 24
26 Redcliff Razamanaz 2.25 681.5 302.8888889 32 50.75 1478 29.12315271 18 25
27 Rockhampton Raiders 10.5 834 79.42857143 31 55.75 1530 27.44394619 21 26
28 Budapest Brawlers 18 1005.5 55.86111111 28 67.75 1736 25.62361624 25 26.5
29 Lexington Armada 20.25 895 44.19753086 25 49.75 1122.5 22.56281407 29 27
29 Wellington Assassins 20.25 943.5 46.59259259 26 82.5 1928.5 23.37575758 28 27
31 The Practice Squad 12.75 871 68.31372549 29 71 1689 23.78873239 27 28

32 Wollongong Shaved Pussycats 25.5 1281.5 50.25490196 27 77.75 1478 19.0096463 32 29.5
Last edited Aug 5, 2008 00:56:29
 
Ahoda
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Originally posted by Go_Blue
Originally posted by Ahoda

I just don't
get how you get this info. But thanks for the write up. My team is 2 -
0 and we are ranked #11 and we beat the #3 and #6 team. So I guess that
means we are doing something right.


In the end it doesn't really matter because you know what they say...

...if you're not first, you're last!

Good job beating those teams above you though.



Yeah, I wasn't complaining because I could very easily be 0-2 and out of the playoffs already.

And I love your avitar. GO BLUE!
 
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Originally posted by Dachpappe
Hey Jerry,

read this? http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=760667



I have now. There are two major flaws with his spreadsheet.

The first flaw is, if he's going to have points, yards, yards per play, etc.; then you can't combine the two conferences. The conferences are not equal in strength, so comparisons between the two conferences will remain pointless no matter how many games are played.

The second flaw is that his rankings are horribly out of whack at the beginning of the season because it favors good teams who've played horrible teams. As more games occur, it'll become more "accurate". However, it'll never reach a level of accuracy that I would find acceptable because it retains historic data which; because of level-ups, boosts and trades; becomes increasingly meaningless as the season progresses.

Suggestions I would have:
* Drop data from games once they are a week old or more.
* Weight the data so most recent performances have precedence over older performances.
* Use the Team Rating to weight the value of the data from a particular game. This way data from an easy team rated at 27 would not provide as much of a lift as a more difficult opponent rated at 42.
Last edited Aug 5, 2008 06:51:20
 
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Originally posted by Ahoda
I just don't get how you get this info. But thanks for the write up. My team is 2 - 0 and we are ranked #11 and we beat the #3 and #6 team. So I guess that means we are doing something right.


Yes, you did do something right. I believe you had a better AI than the Condors when you played them. As for Lincoln Breeze, you are less than a point away from them.

Don't look at the ranks as the objective evaluation of your team. Look at the differences in the score. As Sarcoth said, anyone within 2 points (give or take a little) is a threat to beat anyone else. Anyone within 3 points is a threat to upset. For instance, German Wilddogs shouldn't lose to any of the teams ranked 13 and lower. That's because of the points, not the rank.
 


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