Ok, so I owe everyone a set of power rankings from last season. I wasn't super happy with my rankings system last season (the spreadsheet kept breaking...) and my office updated MS Office to the 2007 version, so it was taking me forever to find where they moved all the shit in Excel, and I was on vacation for part of the time.....basically a bunch of shit that just made the power rankings feel more like work than something fun. So Sorry for leaving you guys hanging.
Well, I've revamped the rankings, and calculated a final ranking for last season (mostly, some of the team name changes have made calculating the recent game aspect a pain in the ass, so I'm not dealing with those until the season actually starts), but this gives us the meat of the rankings.
The rankings this year are greatly simplified, and mainly based on two stats.
1) Per Game Success Factor
2) Quality Opponents
The Per Game Success Factor is loosly based on the DVOA stat published by The Football Outsiders: http://www.footballoutsiders.com/
where a team gets points per play bases on how well they move the football. Up to 1 point per play, with bonuses for TD's, FG's, long plays, and moving the ball inside the red zone. This value is calculated for both team in a game, and the value used is the difference between the two teams. As an example, the week 1 game between the Lincoln Navigators and the LA Arsenal.
Lincoln accumulated a Success Factor score of 51.44
The Arsenal racked up a Success Factor score of 19.58
Lincoln then came out of the game with a Success factor of 31.86, while the Arsenal ended with a Factor of -31.86.
The Success Factor presented here tonight is a season long cumulative value (regular season only). FWIW King Donalt had a score of -1222.36, while, the highest was WindyCity with 601.09.
The second factor is a Quality Opponent Factor. This is simpler to explain. If you beat a team, you get 1 point for every win they have, if you lose to a team, you get -1 point for every loss they have.
Each of these factors is scaled from 0-100 and added to get the final score, which is then ranked.
As the season progresses, the scores will change a bit, as I am planning on adding a few more points based on the most recent 4 games (to reflect teams that are hot or not), but it will be pretty similar to this.
No ST rankings, no defensive rankings, no Offensive rankings (although I'm sure some of you will call these rankings offensive...Zing!!). Everything is wrapped up in one nice little package with the Success Factor.
Part of why I'm posting this now, is to see if anyone has any questions about anything that might help me catch any major mistakes I've made (although hopefully I've already caught everything). So ask questions if you got em....
Thanks,
StickMan
Ranking - Team (Conference) (Record) Score
1 - Windycity Menace (E) (13-3-0) 190.3
2 - Las Vegas Outlaws (W) (14-2-0) 190.2
3 - Lincoln Navigators (W) (15-1-0) 180.6
4 - Dread City Diabolicals (W) (14-2-0) 180.5
5 - San Francisco Webzoners (W) (14-2-0) 174.1
6 - Iowa City Pariahs (E) (11-5-0) 167.6
7 - Milwaukee Marauders (E) (11-5-0) 154.7
8 - VEGAS Goodfellas (E) (12-4-0) 151.5
9 - Baltimore Kingz (E) (14-2-0) 145
10 - AggieFans Legion Of Doom (E) (12-4-0) 132.2
11 - Choctaw Cracker Party (E) (10-6-0) 132.2
12 - Windsor Warriors (E) (11-5-0) 132.1
13 - Los Angeles Arsenal (W) (11-5-0) 129
14 - Madden All Stars (E) (11-5-0) 128.9
15 - Florida State WarChant (E) (8-8-0) 112.8
16 - Yazoo City Saints (W) (10-6-0) 109.6
17 - Dallas Annihilators (W) (10-6-0) 106.3
18 - Chronic City Blazers (W) (7-9-0) 90.2
19 - Florida Sharks (E) (4-12-0) 83.8
20 - Midway Monsters (E) (4-12-0) 70.9
21 - Houston Bulls (W) (6-10-0) 70.8
22 - Coronado Destroyers (W) (4-12-0) 58
23 - American Cardinals (E) (5-11-0) 54.8
24 - Carolina Barracudas (W) (5-11-0) 48.3
25 - PBNation Dodgys (W) (4-12-0) 45.1
26 - J Villains (E) (3-13-0) 45
27 - FT. Campbell Rangers (W) (2-14-0) 35.4
28 - Off Topic Dusty Bakers (W) (2-14-0) 29
29 - JetNation Juggernauts (W) (4-12-0) 22.5
30 - Chattahoochee Chumbags (W) (4-12-0) 16
31 - Sportsrant.com Stalkers (E) (1-15-0) 6.4
32 - King Donaldt (E) (0-16-0) 0
Well, I've revamped the rankings, and calculated a final ranking for last season (mostly, some of the team name changes have made calculating the recent game aspect a pain in the ass, so I'm not dealing with those until the season actually starts), but this gives us the meat of the rankings.
The rankings this year are greatly simplified, and mainly based on two stats.
1) Per Game Success Factor
2) Quality Opponents
The Per Game Success Factor is loosly based on the DVOA stat published by The Football Outsiders: http://www.footballoutsiders.com/
where a team gets points per play bases on how well they move the football. Up to 1 point per play, with bonuses for TD's, FG's, long plays, and moving the ball inside the red zone. This value is calculated for both team in a game, and the value used is the difference between the two teams. As an example, the week 1 game between the Lincoln Navigators and the LA Arsenal.
Lincoln accumulated a Success Factor score of 51.44
The Arsenal racked up a Success Factor score of 19.58
Lincoln then came out of the game with a Success factor of 31.86, while the Arsenal ended with a Factor of -31.86.
The Success Factor presented here tonight is a season long cumulative value (regular season only). FWIW King Donalt had a score of -1222.36, while, the highest was WindyCity with 601.09.
The second factor is a Quality Opponent Factor. This is simpler to explain. If you beat a team, you get 1 point for every win they have, if you lose to a team, you get -1 point for every loss they have.
Each of these factors is scaled from 0-100 and added to get the final score, which is then ranked.
As the season progresses, the scores will change a bit, as I am planning on adding a few more points based on the most recent 4 games (to reflect teams that are hot or not), but it will be pretty similar to this.
No ST rankings, no defensive rankings, no Offensive rankings (although I'm sure some of you will call these rankings offensive...Zing!!). Everything is wrapped up in one nice little package with the Success Factor.
Part of why I'm posting this now, is to see if anyone has any questions about anything that might help me catch any major mistakes I've made (although hopefully I've already caught everything). So ask questions if you got em....
Thanks,
StickMan
Ranking - Team (Conference) (Record) Score
1 - Windycity Menace (E) (13-3-0) 190.3
2 - Las Vegas Outlaws (W) (14-2-0) 190.2
3 - Lincoln Navigators (W) (15-1-0) 180.6
4 - Dread City Diabolicals (W) (14-2-0) 180.5
5 - San Francisco Webzoners (W) (14-2-0) 174.1
6 - Iowa City Pariahs (E) (11-5-0) 167.6
7 - Milwaukee Marauders (E) (11-5-0) 154.7
8 - VEGAS Goodfellas (E) (12-4-0) 151.5
9 - Baltimore Kingz (E) (14-2-0) 145
10 - AggieFans Legion Of Doom (E) (12-4-0) 132.2
11 - Choctaw Cracker Party (E) (10-6-0) 132.2
12 - Windsor Warriors (E) (11-5-0) 132.1
13 - Los Angeles Arsenal (W) (11-5-0) 129
14 - Madden All Stars (E) (11-5-0) 128.9
15 - Florida State WarChant (E) (8-8-0) 112.8
16 - Yazoo City Saints (W) (10-6-0) 109.6
17 - Dallas Annihilators (W) (10-6-0) 106.3
18 - Chronic City Blazers (W) (7-9-0) 90.2
19 - Florida Sharks (E) (4-12-0) 83.8
20 - Midway Monsters (E) (4-12-0) 70.9
21 - Houston Bulls (W) (6-10-0) 70.8
22 - Coronado Destroyers (W) (4-12-0) 58
23 - American Cardinals (E) (5-11-0) 54.8
24 - Carolina Barracudas (W) (5-11-0) 48.3
25 - PBNation Dodgys (W) (4-12-0) 45.1
26 - J Villains (E) (3-13-0) 45
27 - FT. Campbell Rangers (W) (2-14-0) 35.4
28 - Off Topic Dusty Bakers (W) (2-14-0) 29
29 - JetNation Juggernauts (W) (4-12-0) 22.5
30 - Chattahoochee Chumbags (W) (4-12-0) 16
31 - Sportsrant.com Stalkers (E) (1-15-0) 6.4
32 - King Donaldt (E) (0-16-0) 0
Last edited Jul 23, 2008 23:02:43
