User Pass
Home Sign Up Contact Log In
Forum > Oceania AA Leagues > Oceania AA #4 > Updated Season End Predictions
Page:
 
chappy2235
offline
Link
 
Zeta:
Rk__Team_________________W___L___T____%_____PF____PA__
..1 . . Fiji Stingers. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 868 . . .....35
..2 . . Fiji Flying Foxes . . . . . . . . . . . 14 . . ..2 . . 0 . . ..88% . . 651 . . .....99
..3 . . GuadalCanal Gunners. . . . . . . . 13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . ..81% . . 561 . . ...149
..4 . . ASRW. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . ..81% . . 410 . . ...169
..5 . . Newcastle Mountain Lions. . . 12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . 383 . . ...153
..6 . . Tasmania Swarm . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . 320 . . ...264
..7 . . Devenport Devils . . . . . . . . . . . 10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . 284 . . ...278
..8 . . WSP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . ..50% . . 329 . . ...281
..9 . . Redcliffe Sharks . . . . . . . . . . . . ..8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . ..50% . . 352 . . ...340
10 . . Brisbane Troyfins. . . . . . . . . . . ..7 . . ..9 . . 0 . . ..44% . . 289 . . ...281
11 . . RockHamton Raiders. . . . . . . . ..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . 277 . . ...322
12 . . Hamilton Falcons. . . . . . . . . . . ..4 . . 12 . . 0 . . ..25% . . 224 . . ...416
13 . . Perth Pirates. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..4 . . 12 . . 0 . . ..25% . . 161 . . ...518
14 . . Dharma Initiative . . . . . . . . . . . ..3 . . 13 . . 0 . . ..19% . . 226 . . ...451
15 . . Noumea Mantas. . . . . . . . . . . . ..1 . . 15 . . 0 . . ....6% . . 124 . . ...674
16 . . Lexington Armada. . . . . . . . . . ..0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . ..68 . . 1,074

Alpha:
Rk__Team_________________W___L___T____%_____PF____PA__
..1 . . Hawthore Headhunters. . . . . . . . . . 16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 457 . . 107
..2 . . Suva Hawks . . . . . . . . . 15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . ..94% . . 814 . . ..77
..3 . . Sacred Haven Knights. . . . . . . 14 . . ..2 . . 0 . . ..88% . . 418 . . ..44
..4 . . Sunshine Coast Condors . . . . . . . . . . 12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . 355 . . 161
..5 . . Future Llamas of America. . . . . . . . . 12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . 366 . . 142
..6 . . South Sydney Rabbitohs . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 . . ..5 . . 1 . . ..66% . . 350 . . 244
..7 . . Lincoln Breeze . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . 350 . . 208
..8 . . Christchurch Parrots. . . . . . . . . . . . ..8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . ..50% . . 235 . . 292
..9 . . Sandersville WarChickens . . . . . . . . . ..7 . . ..9 . . 0 . . ..44% . . 269 . . 255
10 . . Berline Devine Right. . . . . . . . . . . ..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . 268 . . 285
11 . . Nottingham Hoods . . . . . . ..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . 261 . . 252
12 . . German Wilddogs . ..4 . . 11 . . 1 . . ..28% . . 198 . . 307
13 . . Saipan Storm . . . . . . . ..4 . . 12 . . 0 . . ..25% . . 231 . . 332
14 . . Solomon Island Pack . . . . . ..2 . . 14 . . 0 . . ..13% . . 113 . . 537
15 . . Redcliff Razamanaz . . . . . . ..1 . . 15 . . 0 . . ....6% . . ..91 . . 671
16 . . Wellington Assasins. . . . . . . . . . . . . ..0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . ..30 . . 862
 
Primarch
offline
Link
 
Still 6-10 prediction for us? Wow, so basically we go 0-4 our last 4 games?


I sure hope they are wrong about that one....



Clay
 
chappy2235
offline
Link
 
Yep, It had you beating the mantas and then losing the rest. The last two are really close though. Here is the prediction for the rest of your games.

Redcliffe Sharks 18 21
Fiji Stingers 2 53
WSP 15 18
Christchurch Parrots 9 10


Last edited Jul 4, 2008 17:52:26
 
CoachB05
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by Primarch
Still 6-10 prediction for us? Wow, so basically we go 0-4 our last 4 games?

I sure hope they are wrong about that one....

Clay


I think you can beat 2 of those 3 teams that they have you losing by 3 or less points.. I just hope that they are right about Hawthorn though, it would be awesome going 16-0!
 
Primarch
offline
Link
 
Umm, we arent losing to anyone 53-2, believe that....

What are these estimations based on? Scoring for and against? Averages? just a bit curious, and anxious to prove them VERY wrong.



Clay
Last edited Jul 4, 2008 18:06:55
 
chappy2235
offline
Link
 
It appears to be mostly for and against and schedule and win-loss record.

You enter in the schedule for each team and then the scores for each game and then it predicts the rest.
 
chappy2235
offline
Link
 
I think it went 15 of 16 on game 10 and then it went 16 of 16 for game 12. The one game it did miss was y'alls game though.
 
Modok
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by Primarch
Umm, we arent losing to anyone 53-2, believe that....

What are these estimations based on? Scoring for and against? Averages? just a bit curious, and anxious to prove them VERY wrong.



Clay


You havent played the Stingers. They are legit.
 
CoachB05
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by Modok
Originally posted by Primarch

Umm, we arent losing to anyone 53-2, believe that....

What are these estimations based on? Scoring for and against? Averages? just a bit curious, and anxious to prove them VERY wrong.



Clay


You havent played the Stingers. They are legit.


I doubt that they will be able to get a safety against them. MAYBE a FG or two, but that's it. I think that's what he meant- that he wasn't getting a safety, and that they would only win by 35 or so.
 
Primarch
offline
Link
 
Well, a bit of both. We arent the same team we were at the beginning of the season either. Lose we probably will, but it will not be 53-2. I'd expect a much closer game, and if someone is giving Rockhamtpon and 51 points, take the points and bet your house on it.


Clay
 
chappy2235
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by CoachB05
Originally posted by Modok

Originally posted by Primarch


Umm, we arent losing to anyone 53-2, believe that....

What are these estimations based on? Scoring for and against? Averages? just a bit curious, and anxious to prove them VERY wrong.

Clay


You havent played the Stingers. They are legit.


I doubt that they will be able to get a safety against them. MAYBE a FG or two, but that's it. I think that's what he meant- that he wasn't getting a safety, and that they would only win by 35 or so.


Yeah, I don't think it tries to put the score at a valid football score. Those are just some kind of average score. It predicts a lot of safeties if that is the case.

 
CoachB05
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by chappy2235


Yeah, I don't think it tries to put the score at a valid football score. Those are just some kind of average score. It predicts a lot of safeties if that is the case.



Do you think it could have anything to do with odds? I mean, do you think those are the odds that a team will win, or is it just odd like that?
 
chappy2235
offline
Link
 
No, it is definitely a predicted score. I think it just takes an average based on the points for and points against each of the teams. Simplified Example -- Over 5 games a team allows 10 points. The average points per game is 2 points so it predicts 2 points.
 
Roque501
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by Primarch
Well, a bit of both. We arent the same team we were at the beginning of the season either. Lose we probably will, but it will not be 53-2. I'd expect a much closer game, and if someone is giving Rockhamtpon and 51 points, take the points and bet your house on it.


Clay


I agree with Primarch. Don't underestimate the Raiders. We have always had talent but now we are a much more cohesive unit chemistry-wise, which is not to be discounted.
 
chappy2235
offline
Link
 
Here are the updates after Game 13:

Rk__Team_________________W___L___T____%_____PF____PA__
..1 . . Hawthore Headhunters. . . . . . . . . . 16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 444 . . 112
..2 . . Suva Hawks . . . . . . . . . 15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . ..94% . . 819 . . ..77
..3 . . Sacred Haven Knights. . . . . . . 14 . . ..2 . . 0 . . ..88% . . 412 . . ..51
..4 . . Future Llamas of America. . . . . . . . . 12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . 349 . . 144
..5 . . Sunshine Coast Condors . . . . . . . . . . 11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . ..69% . . 348 . . 177
..6 . . South Sydney Rabbitohs . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 . . ..5 . . 1 . . ..66% . . 346 . . 248
..7 . . Lincoln Breeze . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . 342 . . 200
..8 . . Sandersville WarChickens . . . . . . . . . ..8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . ..50% . . 277 . . 248
..9 . . Jamaican Souljahs. . . . . . . . . . . . ..8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . ..50% . . 238 . . 289
10 . . Nottingham Hoods . . . . . . ..7 . . ..9 . . 0 . . ..44% . . 267 . . 245
11 . . Berline Devine Right. . . . . . . . . . . ..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . 274 . . 285
12 . . German Wilddogs . ..4 . . 11 . . 1 . . ..28% . . 197 . . 291
13 . . Saipan Storm . . . . . . . ..4 . . 12 . . 0 . . ..25% . . 226 . . 344
14 . . Solomon Island Pack . . . . . ..2 . . 14 . . 0 . . ..13% . . 106 . . 528
15 . . Redcliff Razamanaz . . . . . . ..1 . . 15 . . 0 . . ....6% . . 102 . . 652
16 . . Wellington Assasins. . . . . . . . . . . . . ..0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . ..32 . . 858



Rk__Team_________________W___L___T____%_____PF____PA__
..1 . . Fiji Stingers. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 821 . . .....39
..2 . . Fiji Flying Foxes . . . . . . . . . . . 14 . . ..2 . . 0 . . ..88% . . 651 . . ...108
..3 . . GuadalCanal Gunners. . . . . . . . 13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . ..81% . . 550 . . ...159
..4 . . ASRW. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . ..81% . . 404 . . ...170
..5 . . Newcastle Mountain Lions. . . 12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . 386 . . ...157
..6 . . Devenport Devils . . . . . . . . . . . 10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . 292 . . ...273
..7 . . Tasmania Swarm . . . . . . . . . . . . ..9 . . ..6 . . 1 . . ..59% . . 323 . . ...273
..8 . . WSP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..8 . . ..7 . . 1 . . ..53% . . 336 . . ...285
..9 . . Redcliffe Sharks . . . . . . . . . . . . ..8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . ..50% . . 361 . . ...330
10 . . Brisbane Troyfins. . . . . . . . . . . ..7 . . ..9 . . 0 . . ..44% . . 286 . . ...279
11 . . RockHamton Raiders. . . . . . . . ..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . 267 . . ...331
12 . . Hamilton Falcons. . . . . . . . . . . ..4 . . 12 . . 0 . . ..25% . . 216 . . ...414
13 . . Perth Pirates. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..4 . . 12 . . 0 . . ..25% . . 166 . . ...478
14 . . Dharma Initiative . . . . . . . . . . . ..3 . . 13 . . 0 . . ..19% . . 231 . . ...454
15 . . Noumea Mantas. . . . . . . . . . . . ..1 . . 15 . . 0 . . ....6% . . 131 . . ...671
16 . . Lexington Armada. . . . . . . . . . ..0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . ..70 . . 1,047
 
Page:
 


You are not logged in. Please log in if you want to post a reply.