Warrior General Games

With only 3 games left, though there isn't much to the imagination for playoffs, I figured I would give it a scrub to see what we come up with.

========== DIVISIONAL BREAKDOWN ==========

Alpha

Tampa Piranhas 9-2 (3-0)

Tampa would have to lose all 3 games upcoming to even come close to not winning the division. This would also require DeepRoute to win out completely and then overtake Tampa in the Points Allowed stat which they sit 2 and 3 respectively. I call this a division that is clinched based off all the what if's.

DeepRoute Allstars 6-5 (2-1) loss to Tampa

DeepRoute as foreshadowed in the Tampa analysis needs an act of Bort and his balloon to clinch this division. There is a chance they can win out, but I really don't give a chance to Tampa losing out. As mentioned consider this division clinched and hope for the wildcard.

Sacramento B-Squad & Helmand Provincial Pathan Pansies

Neither team has a chance to make the playoffs and are set to gear up for next season as both teams will be returning for another season. Best of luck!

Beta

Detroit Foreclosures 9-2 (2-1) loss to Alpine

Detroit hands down is in the driver seat to win the division. They hold a 1 game lead on Ministry, but more than that they hold a strong lead with the Points Against taken into consideration. Detroit boasts the #1 defense in this stat and Ministry sits at #5. Detroit would have to lose to both Alpine and Ministry while Ministry winning out to lose the divisional lead. I would predict they would split the games and thus clinch the division with a victory. If it came to them losing the lead they would clinch the wildcard as no other division would in this scenario have a dog in the race.

Ministry of Dotball 8-3 (2-1) loss to Detroit

Ministry needs some help in addition to making their own luck to clinch the division. As mentioned with Detroit, Ministry would need to win out and Detroit would need to lose both to Ministry and Alpine to have a chance. The best hopes Ministry has are with the wildcard.

Alpine 6-5 (2-1) loss to Ministry

Alpine has a near impossible task to clinch the division. Frankly impossible as it would require that both Ministry and Detroit lose to Undead and that Alpine would win out and that Ministry would win against Detroit which would put them in a direct tie with Ministry and IF they do that they still would have to overcome the Points Allowed difference of 28 points. Consider them out imo, but still a fighting chance to win the wildcard.

Undead Xombi

lulz.

Gamma

Kansas City Beached Whales 8-3 (3-0)

Look at the newcomer to Osprey getting the divisional driving gloves! Texas Toast is the only one that can give them any trouble as it would require the Whales to lose 2 out of the next 3 and the Toast win 2 out of the next 3. Of those losses/wins described the Toast would have to beat Kansas City to sit with a tiebreaker where it comes to Points Allowed and currently Kansas City is sitting #4 and Toast #6. In the unfortunate but ultimately possible scenario of Kansas City losing out, Texas would still be required to win 2 out of the last 3 to have a chance. Based on the scenarios, I would consider the Beached Whales the divisional winners.

Texas Toast 6-5 (2-1) loss to Kansas City

Texas Toast is sitting in a rough spot in trying to gain divisional prowess. Currently sitting 2 games behind the Whales requires them to win 2 out of the next 3 while one of those against Kansas City. In addition it would depend on Kansas City to lose 2 out of the next 3 while one of those against Texas. If that were not enough it also requires that Texas play some pretty stout defense and overtake Kansas City in Points Allowed. Now if Kansas City were to drop the next 3 games and Texas manages to win 2 out of the next 3 they would be the winners. Alternatively, if Kansas City drops 2 out of the 3 and Texas wins out they would be in as well. I predict they miss the divisional title and would be shooting for the wildcard spot.

New York Gangsters & Rhode Island Aftershocks

Consider both of these teams out, too far behind for any chance for the division and wildcard. It has been confirmed New York will be leaving Osprey, but unknown if Rhode Island will be leaving with them?

========== WILDCARD BREAKDOWN ==========

Teams In Wildcard Race

Tampa Piranhas - predicted Div Winner
DeepRoute Allstars
Detroit Forclosures - predicted Div Winner
Ministry of Dotball
Alpine
Kansas City Beached Whales - predicted Div Winner
Texas Toast

With the divisional predictions out of the way it leaves Ministry, DeepRoute, Alpine and Texas. Ministry has a clear cut lead with a 2 game advantage against the other 3 who are all tied. Ministry also has wins over DeepRoute and Alpine, but lost to Texas so in reality the only team that has a true chance is Texas. This would involve Ministry to lose 2 out of the next 3 and Texas to win 2 out of the next 3 which both are plausible. For either DeepRoute or Alpine to have a chance they would need Ministry to lose the next 3 and they win 2 out of 3 or Ministry lose 2 of the next 3 and they win out. Neither case I see highly possible. With all this in mind I feel Ministry clinches the wildcard spot.

========== SEEDING BREAKDOWN ==========

Obviously you can't go over every scenario here but I can give my opinion.

1. Tampa Piranhas
2. Detroit Foreclosures
3. Kansas City Beached Whales
4. Ministry of Dotball

This puts a rematch of Ministry and Tampa from a nail bitter regular season game and a flash back to Season 1 where Ministry was the #1 seed and Tampa the #4. Not that I would need to remind anyone they went on to win as the wildcard ... wink wink.

Detroit then would play Kansas City which was a hell of a game earlier in the season as well and Detroit is eager for the rematch.

I hold off any playoff predictions as that is just speculation based on who makes it in.

B-Squad will play spoiler!

speaking on behalf of the Detroit Foreclosures, i would just like to say that they are indeed, more then willing to not rematch Kansas City....

Originally posted by michael136
speaking on behalf of the Detroit Foreclosures, i would just like to say that they are indeed, more then willing to not rematch Kansas City....

That means you would have to rematch against Ministry and well... ohh wait this season you kicked our ass... I hope you get Kansas City... wait that means I get Tampa... damned if I do, damned if I don't... Osprey is too damn competitive

having beat tampa and you, but having had my ass handed to me by kansas city, they are the one team i don't want to face.

Originally posted by michael136
having beat tampa and you, but having had my ass handed to me by kansas city, they are the one team i don't want to face.

So selfish, always thinking of yourself

aww sweetie, you know i love you.... -leaves a 20 on the night stand and crawls out the window-

Originally posted by michael136
having beat tampa and you, but having had my ass handed to me by kansas city, they are the one team i don't want to face.

Yeah we're not too keen on the fact that we are 1-2 against current playoff teams, but we would not want to face MOD. That game wasn't even close

Rough year for us this year. Still going to try to win out and get things on track ready for next year.

as you should, this is osprey man, you know that nothing is ever decided until the last week of the season.

Originally posted by Donqueodie
Yeah we're not too keen on the fact that we are 1-2 against current playoff teams, but we would not want to face MOD. That game wasn't even close

Well if you want to lose to us we'll face them for you!

It's going to take KC losing a game (or both!) and even if they lose one, we need to make up for 30~ points defensively to win the division tie breaker since we split the head to head. So I don't see that being likely.

What it comes down to is we need to beat NY and RI, Alpine needs to lose to Detroit, and then MOD needs to lose to Alpine.

If we lose one, we're out. If Alpine beats Detroit, we're out. And if Detroit beats Alpine, then Alpine needs to beat MOD. MOD just needs to beat Alpine and they're in, since Xombi is a gimme.


I feel like this wildcard picture would be a majority of Sportscenter debates if this was real football lol

It'll definitely be fun to see the playoff picture unfold.

Originally posted by nortobc
B-Squad will play spoiler!

This

you think this is bad, the last 2 seasons we have had 4 way ties going into the very last game of the season..this might be the least what if season so far.