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Forum > Africa AA League > Africa AA #4 > Satchmo's Computer Predictions for Week 8
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scarletmbb
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So I downloaded and inputted the data for this guy's thing:

http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=470138


For the Lion Conference:

Tanzanian/Botswana - 28-13 Tanzanian
Zimbabwe Tigers/Pretoria Pigs - 39-7 Tigers
Zanzibar/Pretoria Pittbulls - 88-4 Zanzibar
Rwanda/Togo - 16-14 Rwanda
Ethiopia/Congo - 30-12 Ethiopia
Niger/Impending - 20-7 Niger
Ivory Coast/Zimbabwe Bulls - 69-0 Ivory Coast
Djibouti/Texas - 14-3 Djibouti


For the Elephant Conference:

Texas/Luxor - 37-12 Texas
Cleveland/Congo - 32-19 Cleveland
Casablanca/Nigerian - 40-4 Casablanca
Mozambique/Algeria - 19-13 Mozambique
Cairo/Ethiopia - 16-6 Cairo
Carthage/P-Town - 69-5 Carthage
Egypt/Madagascar - 24-6 Egypt
Gunston/Freetown - 19-9 Gunston


Toughest Remaining Schedules:

Lion Conference:

1. Ivory Coast Wildcats
2. Zimbabwe Bulls
3. Rwanda Hellfish
4. Zanzibar Face-Eaters
5. Pretoria Pigs
6. Pretoria Pittbulls
7. Botswana Bushmen
8. Impending Doom
9. Togo Outlaws
10. Ethiopia Devils
11. Niger Hitmen
12. Congo Choir Boys
13. Zimbabwe Tigers
14. Djibouti Jackals
15. Texas Armadillos
16. Tanzanian Morning Wood

Elephant Conference:

1. Algeria Dune Hoppers
2. Ethipia Hungry Hungry Hippos
3. Gunston Drunks
4. Luxor Pharaoh Kings
5. Freetown Jayhawks
6. Casablanca Golden Eagles
7. Nigerian Nightmares
8. Congo Cripplers
9. Cairo Mummy Warriors
10. Madagascar Grand JagerMenze
11. Mozambique Terror Squad
12. The Last Gunfighters of Texas
13. Cleveland Bombers
14. Carthage Mercenaries
15. P-Town Ballaz
16. Egypt Dragons



Projected Standings (projected record):

Lion Conference:

1. Tanzanian Morning Wood (16-0)
2. Zimbabwe Tigers (15-1)
3. Zanzibar Face-Eaters (14-2)
4. Botswana Bushmen (11-5)
5. Rwanda Hellfish (11-5)
6. Togo Outlaws (10-6)
7. Ethiopia Devils (10-6)
8. Niger Hitmen (10-6)
9. Pretoria Pigs (7-9)
10. Ivory Coast Wildcats (6-10)
11. Congo Choir Boys (6-10)
12. Impending Doom (5-11)
13. Djibouti Jackals (3-13)
14. Pretoria Pittbulls (2-14)
15. Texas Armadillos (1-15)
16. Zimbabwe Bulls (0-16)

Elephant Conference:

1. The Last Gunfighters of Texas (16-0)
2. Casablanca Golden Eagles (14-2)
3. Cleveland Bombers (14-2)
4. Mozambique Terror Squad (13-3)
5. Carthage Mercenaries (12-4)
6. Egypt Dragons (11-5)
7. Congo Cripplers (9-7)
8. Algeria Dune Hoppers (9-7)
9. Cairo Mummy Warriors (7-9)
10. Luxor Pharaoh Kings (6-10)
11. Gunston Drunks (6-10)
12. Ethipia Hungry Hungry Hippos (4-12)
13. Nigerian Nightmares (2-14)
14. Madagascar Grand JagerMenze (2-14)
15. Freetown Jayhawks (2-14)
16. P-Town Ballaz (0-16)

Last edited Jun 26, 2008 11:04:58
 
TesT
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Marvins FTW!
Last edited Jun 26, 2008 11:49:25
 
gretho
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Your projected records can not work out the way you have them.
 
Rook33
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I was just checking it out. Nice work (How long all the entry take you?)

The program is designed as a guide based on current teams status. Game Plans,Boosting,leveling up and the addition of higher lvl players during the season are not factored in the program.
Last edited Jun 26, 2008 12:20:51
 
scarletmbb
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Originally posted by gretho
Your projected records can not work out the way you have them.


Why not? If there's something blatantly wrong let me know bcs I could have inputted stuff wrong.
 
Pensfan
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Originally posted by scarletmbb
Ivory Coast/Zimbabwe Bulls - 69-0 Ivory Coast


w00t! Gotta love that prediction!

Now to see if we can back it up.


 
gretho
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Originally posted by scarletmbb
Originally posted by gretho

Your projected records can not work out the way you have them.


Why not? If there's something blatantly wrong let me know bcs I could have inputted stuff wrong.


Its complicated but I will try. You have Mozambique, Carthage, and Casablanca each losing just one more. You also have Texas and Tanzanian remaining undefeated. Carthage would have to lose to Tanzanian and beat Mozambique. Mozambique would not be able to lose again. Yet Mozambique still has to play Casablanca. If Casablanca lost they would have to beat Texas Gunfighters who you have going undefeated.
 
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Originally posted by gretho
Originally posted by scarletmbb

Originally posted by gretho


Your projected records can not work out the way you have them.


Why not? If there's something blatantly wrong let me know bcs I could have inputted stuff wrong.


Its complicated but I will try. You have Mozambique, Carthage, and Casablanca each losing just one more. You also have Texas and Tanzanian remaining undefeated. Carthage would have to lose to Tanzanian and beat Mozambique. Mozambique would not be able to lose again. Yet Mozambique still has to play Casablanca. If Casablanca lost they would have to beat Texas Gunfighters who you have going undefeated.


hmmm nevermind
Last edited Jun 26, 2008 15:52:27
 
GeauxSaints53
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Originally posted by scarletmbb


Zanzibar/Pretoria Pittbulls - 88-4 Zanzibar



Lol. Two safeties for Pretoria?
 
G.O.D Turner
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Algeria opposes these predictions! We look to win this upcoming game against Nigeria

it's gonna be a CLOSE CLOSE game, that's what I agree on, but I think when the late 4th quarter rolls around, Algeria's gonna be the fresher of the two teams, and pull it off. I'm biased though, hehe
 
helmetcreator
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The computer has Mozambique losing to Casablanca going 13-3.
Casablanca losing to Texas going 14-2.
Carthage losing to Mozambique going 12-4.


It also has a tie for Morning Wood and Carthage. These things change every single day when new data is put into the program. It is only using your game scores, and scores vs like opponents to figure it out. Its not perfect, but so far this season gets better. As someone said above it doesn't factor in you adding players, boosting, or any of that. Just a simple statistical look at what could be.
 
Sparxs
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Originally posted by scarletmbb
Originally posted by gretho

Your projected records can not work out the way you have them.


Why not? If there's something blatantly wrong let me know bcs I could have inputted stuff wrong.


Thanks for putting the time and effort into this.
 
RTJakarta
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Originally posted by helmetcreator
It also has a tie for Morning Wood and Carthage.


Uh...not even close. It has Carthage getting blown out.

 
scarletmbb
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Weird, on the lion conference end it has Morning Wood blowing out Carthage, but on the elephant conference end it has a tie between Morning Wood and Carthage. Well...I think it's the tie that kind of screws up the rankings. After today's game I'll update and it should sort things out.
 
helmetcreator
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I think there are a few errors in the coding. If you look at all the codes that have to be in there I can understand why it messes some up. Sometime there is even a difference between two team when you look at them on the same side. Wood vs Carthage is an example, but theres a mix up between teams in the conference too. It is pretty damn good though. Since I have looked at it, it has the game winners right 31 out of 32.
 
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