Alpha
1-Blaze. They'd have to lose to Garudas to lose this spot to the MPHD/HHWC winner, and then they'd fall to #2. I don't see that happening.
2-HHWC/MPHD winner. Pretty straight forward here, but I know I wouldn't want to play Osaka in the first round. That said, how much are you going to give away before a likely 2nd round match up?
3-HHWC/MPHD loser
4-Lincoln/SoCal winner. Basically same deal as the other game, but with 1st round playoff Nachos on the line. Doubt either team gives much away here.
5-Lincoln/SoCal loser.
6-Osaka. They're here no matter what.
7-8
Korb-If they win, they're the 7 seed. If they lose, it gets interesting. Wins over Nairobi, ESL, Wrath. Loss to Hali. Points allowed 378. So, they are pretty safe here unless everything goes wrong and they give up a shitload of points.
Hali-They have to win, but they're playing GG, so they'd probably have to try to lose, and then still probably win. Wins over Wrath, Korb, ESL. Loss to Nairobi. They really want Korb to lose OR Nairobi to lose. Then, they're sitting pretty with a likely shut out of GG coming. Points allowed 515.
Nairobi-Have to beat ESL. Wins over Hali, Wrath. Loss to Korb. Points allowed 520.
Wrath-Have to beat Osaka and have ESL beat Nairobi, and have a miracle in the points allowed department. They're going home. Win over ESL. Losses to Korb, Hali, Nairobi. Points allowed 522.
ESL-They're out. With zero wins over anyone that could be involved in the 8-8 tiebreaker.
Garudas/Smurfs-7 wins will not be enough.
So, it really looks like Korb is in, probably the 7 seed.
Hali wants the shut out, and then needs either Korb OR Nairobi to lose.
Nairobi needs to beat ESL and a Korb win over Smurfs
Alpha
1-Mojo. If they beat Saigon, they're the 1 seed. If they lose, Indy could take it.
2-4 Indy. They beat Alpine, they're probably the 2 seed. They could jump Mojo if Mojo lose. If they lose, and Moose Jaw wins, they would fall to 4
2-3 MJR. Should beat Sin City. Alpine/Indy game decides their 2nd round Nachos and opponent.
3-4 Alpine. Win and they're the 3 seed. Lose and they're the 4 seed. Can change including an outside shot at the 2 seed if MJR also loses.
5-6 Carthage. Win and they're the 5 seed. Lose and probably 6 seed.
5-6 Jam Arcade. Shouldn't lose to Bloodweiser. Win and Carthage loss, 5 seed.
7 Hounds. Would need a Jam Arcade loss to move up. Not likely to happen.
8
Cagliari-Win over Clash and they're the 8 seed. Lose and they need a BBM loss OR CRR win and retain points allowed tie-breaker (Currently 407)
BBM-Have to win, and need Cagliari loss. A CRR win could toss it to points allowed (Currently 422).
CRR-Have to win, and need Cagliari loss AND BBM win. Then need to pull off tie breaker (Currently 427)
1-Blaze. They'd have to lose to Garudas to lose this spot to the MPHD/HHWC winner, and then they'd fall to #2. I don't see that happening.
2-HHWC/MPHD winner. Pretty straight forward here, but I know I wouldn't want to play Osaka in the first round. That said, how much are you going to give away before a likely 2nd round match up?
3-HHWC/MPHD loser
4-Lincoln/SoCal winner. Basically same deal as the other game, but with 1st round playoff Nachos on the line. Doubt either team gives much away here.
5-Lincoln/SoCal loser.
6-Osaka. They're here no matter what.
7-8
Korb-If they win, they're the 7 seed. If they lose, it gets interesting. Wins over Nairobi, ESL, Wrath. Loss to Hali. Points allowed 378. So, they are pretty safe here unless everything goes wrong and they give up a shitload of points.
Hali-They have to win, but they're playing GG, so they'd probably have to try to lose, and then still probably win. Wins over Wrath, Korb, ESL. Loss to Nairobi. They really want Korb to lose OR Nairobi to lose. Then, they're sitting pretty with a likely shut out of GG coming. Points allowed 515.
Nairobi-Have to beat ESL. Wins over Hali, Wrath. Loss to Korb. Points allowed 520.
Wrath-Have to beat Osaka and have ESL beat Nairobi, and have a miracle in the points allowed department. They're going home. Win over ESL. Losses to Korb, Hali, Nairobi. Points allowed 522.
ESL-They're out. With zero wins over anyone that could be involved in the 8-8 tiebreaker.
Garudas/Smurfs-7 wins will not be enough.
So, it really looks like Korb is in, probably the 7 seed.
Hali wants the shut out, and then needs either Korb OR Nairobi to lose.
Nairobi needs to beat ESL and a Korb win over Smurfs
Alpha
1-Mojo. If they beat Saigon, they're the 1 seed. If they lose, Indy could take it.
2-4 Indy. They beat Alpine, they're probably the 2 seed. They could jump Mojo if Mojo lose. If they lose, and Moose Jaw wins, they would fall to 4
2-3 MJR. Should beat Sin City. Alpine/Indy game decides their 2nd round Nachos and opponent.
3-4 Alpine. Win and they're the 3 seed. Lose and they're the 4 seed. Can change including an outside shot at the 2 seed if MJR also loses.
5-6 Carthage. Win and they're the 5 seed. Lose and probably 6 seed.
5-6 Jam Arcade. Shouldn't lose to Bloodweiser. Win and Carthage loss, 5 seed.
7 Hounds. Would need a Jam Arcade loss to move up. Not likely to happen.
8
Cagliari-Win over Clash and they're the 8 seed. Lose and they need a BBM loss OR CRR win and retain points allowed tie-breaker (Currently 407)
BBM-Have to win, and need Cagliari loss. A CRR win could toss it to points allowed (Currently 422).
CRR-Have to win, and need Cagliari loss AND BBM win. Then need to pull off tie breaker (Currently 427)
Edited by GMathiasf on Dec 19, 2010 23:10:48
