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Forum > South Atlantic Pro League > Africa Conference > Looking Ahead: the APL Playoff Picture
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haole
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LION CONFERENCE


TOP DOG

1. Fullham (14-0)

Obviously it would take an epic collapse of the Hellfish to lose this No. 1 seed, and with games left against Kenya and West Yorkshire, that's simply NGTH.


SECOND BEST

2. The Franchise (12-2)
3. (T) Cagilari Outbreak (12-2)
3. (T) Massawa Redhorns (12-2)

Key Games remaining: Cagilari (12-2) vs. Massawa (12-2), Week 15

The Franchise have wins over Cagilari (76-24) and Massawa (70-21), which makes them a virtual lock for the No. 2 seed as long as they can avoid an upset by the Wamphyri (9-5) in Week 15. So the No. 3 and No. 4 seed will both be decided when Massawa and Cagilari hook up for what is sure to be an epic battle in the next game.


ROAD WARRIORS

5. San Francisco Demons (10-4)
6. Carthaginian War Elephants (10-4)

Key games remaining: None

This is pretty much set in stone here because of a 66-45 shootout earlier in the season between the two teams that the Demons won. So both of these teams will be in the upset seat for the first round of the playoffs, with their opponents to be determined by the Cagilari/Massawa game. Unfortunately, both of these teams lost to Cagilari and Massawa in the regular season, although the Demons played Massawa very tight at the start of the season. The War Elephants matched up well with both teams despite double-digit losses to each and have a win over The Franchise on their resume.

7. Wallachia Wamphyri (9-5)

Key games remaining: The Franchise (12-2) at Wallachia (9-5), Week 15

Even if the Wamphyri pull the upset over the Franchise next week, they'll still have to do it again in the first round of the playoffs because the Demons and the War Elephants won't lose again, and the Wamphyri wouldn't have the tiebreaker even if they did. At this point, the Wallachia war room should be all Franchise, all the time.

8. (T) Sahara Storm (7-7)
8. (T) Kenya Diggits (6-8)

Key games remaining: Sahara Storm (7-7) at Kenya Diggits (6-8), Week 15

Sahara has a game left against Cagilari in Week 16 and Kenya has a slaugher left against the Hellfish, so the game between these two will determine two things: who the No. 8 seed is, and if the final playoff team will actually have a losing record. Sahara could conceivably lose to Kenya and then beat Cagilari to steal back the spot, but that's a very unlikely scenario. Both these teams are merely playing for the right to be bitch-slapped by the Hellfish in Round 1, though. Also worth noting is that Uganda hasn't been mathematically eliminated yet, but they would need wins over the Franchise (very unlikely) and Sun City, a win by Kenya over Sahara and both teams to lose in Week 16 with Sahara giving up at least 80 points in each game.
Edited by haole on Aug 25, 2010 23:39:04
Edited by haole on Aug 25, 2010 17:12:01
 
haole
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ELEPHANT CONFERENCE


TOP DOGS

1. (T) Nairobi Warthogs (14-0)
1. (T) Sons of Anubis (14-0)

Key Games remaining: Sons of Anubis (14-0) at Nairboi Warthogs (14-0), Week 15

This is the one we've all been waiting for.

The schedule-makers did the Sons no favors by giving Nairobi hone-field advantage in this one, but it still looks to be a slobber-knocker of epic proportions.

Nairobi's closest game so far was a 37-point win over the Rhinos, a team the Sons only beat by four points. SoA also needed a 17-point fourth quarter outburst to squeak past The Black Hand at midseason, but that was seven games ago and the Sons have looked dominant since.

The Warthogs will enter this game as the favorite, and not just because of home-field advantage, but don't count Anubis out. They feature a rush-heavy attack that has steamrolled much of Africa Pro all season long.


SECOND BEST

3. The Black Hand (10-4)
4. Winhoek White Rhinos (10-4)
5. The Dead Presidents (10-4)
6. Ivory Coast Breakers (10-4)

Key Games remaining: Black Sea Sunami (8-6) at Ivory Coast Breakers (10-4), Week 15; Ivory Coast Breakers (10-4) at Sons of Anubis (14-0)

To make this interesting, Ivory Coast needs back-to-back big wins against a tough Black Sea team and then a season-finale upset over an SoA team that will have nothing to play for in Week 16.

Otherwise it's a pretty clear-cut three way tiebreaker unless a shocking upset occurs in what should be easy wins for the other three teams to end the season.

In a three-way tie, The Black Hand would get the nod with wins over the Rhinos and Presidents, which will set up TDP and the Rhinos for a first-round rematch of a game the Rhinos won earlier this season.


SONS OF NAIROBI FODDER

7. Black Sea Sunami (8-6)

Key games remaining: at Ivory Coast Breakers (10-4), Week 15; vs. Zimbabwe Rebels (6-8), Week 16

These are key games in the loosest sense of the word, because a win by the Sunami in either game locks them in to the No. 7 seed and a first-round matchup against the loser of the Nairobi/Anubis game.

8. Angola Blood Diamonds (6-8)
9. Zimbabwe Rebels (6-8)
9. Guyana Generalissimo's (6-8)

Key games remaining: ABD's final two games.

Who would've thought the final spot would be so contested? Angola has the easiest route, with games remaining against Kickin' (4-10) and Ron's Texans (3-11), and head-to-head tiebreakers with all three of the other teams remaining.

So, in order for ABD to miss the playoffs, they'll have to fall on their faces in one of those games, and one of the other two teams will have to win out.

How likely is that? Not very. The Rebels still have the Rhinos (10-4) and the Sunami (8-6) on their schedule, and Guyana would have to pull a shocker against The Black Hand (10-4) in addition to beating Darfur (3-11).

It's not impossible, but highly improbable, that ABD would miss the playoffs here and not earn a spot against the Nairobi/Anubis winner.
Edited by haole on Aug 25, 2010 19:38:37
Edited by haole on Aug 25, 2010 19:36:22
Edited by haole on Aug 25, 2010 19:31:16
 
FredEx
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Originally posted by haole
SPACE RESERVED FOR ABD


fyp
 
haole
the one who knocks
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Originally posted by FredEx
fyp


this is why we can't have nice things
 
P@nda
Radioactive
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Originally posted by haole
SPACE RESERVED FOR ELEPHANT


Needs moar Elephanny
 
haole
the one who knocks
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Originally posted by P@nda
Needs moar Elephanny


Coming tonight
 
Husker2
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great write up
 
rjssob
HOOD
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This Elephant tiebreaker looks to be interesting to say the least...
 
Ron Rivera
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Ironton should be in there
 
dsl20
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Wow. Nice job haole! Thanks for doing these. The next couple of weeks should be fun!
 
VegasABD
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Originally posted by rjssob
This Elephant tiebreaker looks to be interesting to say the least...


Want to wager RJ?
 
Husker2
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Originally posted by VegasABD
Want to wager RJ?



do you have a gameplanning problem?
 
rjssob
HOOD
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Originally posted by VegasABD
Want to wager RJ?


On what? Right now I have to figure out where we want to finish in the standings...
 
VegasABD
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Originally posted by Husker2
Originally posted by VegasABD

Want to wager RJ?



do you have a gameplanning problem?


No
 
VegasABD
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Originally posted by rjssob
Originally posted by VegasABD

Want to wager RJ?


On what? Right now I have to figure out where we want to finish in the standings...


On ABD making the playoffs
 
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