One week left to go. There we re some critical playoff matchups this week that are causing some current top 8 teams to teeter on the edge of elimination and some teams on the outside still clinging to hope. Despite my analysis in week 14, it appears that there is still a slim chance for salvador to take the 8th spot. More explained below.
Naga
For the locked in teams in naga, we can now add in Berlin and Vella to the list of teams that have survived the season and will be heading into post season play. Mount Krakatoa is close but they do play Pamploma which has a huge affect on who will make the last few spots. A loss by Krakatoa will drop them to 9-7 and tie them with them and put them into the 8th spot (head to head loss) which would eliminate Dallas and Salvador.
I do have to take back the Salvador elimination as a scenario has cropped up that could potentially (albeit very slim) chance of them taking the 8th spot. Because Salvador has beaten Pamplona earlier in the season if both Pamplona and Dallas lose in week 16, and Salvador wins their last game it will put them into a 3 way tie with a 1-1 head to head record. This will then push them to the next tie breaker of points allowed. They are definitely not in the drivers seat for this scenario and are relying on Krakatoa and the Berlin Bombers pulling out wins in their games to give them this shot. However if this does occur, Salvador has to allow 70 fewer points than Dallas sunday. Dallas is at 355 PtsAlwd, Salvador is at 425. It's a huge obstacle but they are not eliminated.
Gaurda
Nothing has changed really in the Garuda Conf as far as i can tell at a quick glance. War Machine is still in the drivers seat for the 7th spot but the 8th spot is still in contention by 3 teams- St Mary's, Greece and Angola. St mary's is on a 3 game slide and has a serious chance of being knocked out of the playoffs if they can't hang on in the last game against Similan. Having lost to both Angola and Greece earlier in the season, St Mary's will be eliminated if they end up at an 8-8 tie with either Angola or Greece.
Angola actually has a solid shot of moving into 8th place as they have the easiest last opponent (georgetown) while the other two teams play other locked playoff contenders.
None of those teams cannot afford to lose their next game, and yet at the same time each of these teams are relying on each other to lose in order to make it in. Greece has a slight advantage over Angola with a head to head win but facing off a tough Karls team does not help them.
Week 16 is going to have a number of critical games, Buffalo vs Taiping, the 6 teams contending for the 8th place spot in both conferences, Exiles vs Canabis. This looks to be an interesting last game of the season. Not usually going to see so many spots up for grabs at the last week.
Rnk ... Off ... Def ... SoS ... Team
1 ........ 1 ........ 1 ........ 0.440 ........ Manila Gorillas (+1)
2 ........ 2 ........ 3 ........ 0.467 ........ TAIPING GOLDEN CATS (-1)
3 ........ 6 ........ 2 ........ 0.471 ........ Detroit Destroyers
4 ........ 7 ........ 5 ........ 0.444 ........ Cannabis Blazers
5 ........ 4 ........ 7 ........ 0.484 ........ Hanoi Hot Karls (+1)
6 ........ 3 ........ 6 ........ 0.413 ........ Windsor Exiles (+1)
7 ........ 8 ........ 8 ........ 0.524 ........ Prague Pulverizing Ponies (-2)
8 ........ 5 ........ 4 ........ 0.431 ........ Buffalo Knights
9 ........ 9 ........ 9 ........ 0.449 ........ Similan Reef Sharks
10 ........ 12 ........ 14 ........ 0.484 ........ Superior Grizzlies
11 ........ 10 ........ 11 ........ 0.467 ........ Berlin Bombers
12 ........ 17 ........ 13 ........ 0.516 ........ Mount Krakatoa Eruption (+1)
13 ........ 11 ........ 10 ........ 0.449 ........ Vella Gulf Destroyers (-1)
14 ........ 13 ........ 19 ........ 0.538 ........ WAR MACHINE
15 ........ 16 ........ 15 ........ 0.484 ........ Saint Mary's School for the Blind (+1)
16 ........ 15 ........ 12 ........ 0.489 ........ Dallas Devils (-1)
17 ........ 18 ........ 20 ........ 0.489 ........ Pamplona Bulls
18 ........ 14 ........ 18 ........ 0.498 ........ Angola Dragons
19 ........ 19 ........ 16 ........ 0.498 ........ Salvador Fantasty Football Pups (+1)
20 ........ 20 ........ 17 ........ 0.480 ........ Greece Lightning (-1)
21 ........ 21 ........ 22 ........ 0.520 ........ Stanley Bears (+1)
22 ........ 22 ........ 21 ........ 0.564 ........ Amity Great Whites (-1)
23 ........ 23 ........ 23 ........ 0.529 ........ Cebu Alliance
24 ........ 24 ........ 26 ........ 0.533 ........ Georgetown United (+2)
25 ........ 26 ........ 25 ........ 0.529 ........ Midway Maulers (-1)
26 ........ 25 ........ 24 ........ 0.533 ........ Okinawa Ronin (-1)
27 ........ 27 ........ 29 ........ 0.538 ........ Templar Knights
28 ........ 29 ........ 28 ........ 0.529 ........ Qeynos Rangers
29 ........ 30 ........ 27 ........ 0.578 ........ Vancouver Hailstorm
30 ........ 28 ........ 31 ........ 0.507 ........ St. Petersburg Boreal (+1)
31 ........ 31 ........ 30 ........ 0.556 ........ OREGON LUMBERJACKS (-1)
32 ........ 32 ........ 32 ........ 0.569 ........ Orlando Tropic Thunder
Naga
For the locked in teams in naga, we can now add in Berlin and Vella to the list of teams that have survived the season and will be heading into post season play. Mount Krakatoa is close but they do play Pamploma which has a huge affect on who will make the last few spots. A loss by Krakatoa will drop them to 9-7 and tie them with them and put them into the 8th spot (head to head loss) which would eliminate Dallas and Salvador.
I do have to take back the Salvador elimination as a scenario has cropped up that could potentially (albeit very slim) chance of them taking the 8th spot. Because Salvador has beaten Pamplona earlier in the season if both Pamplona and Dallas lose in week 16, and Salvador wins their last game it will put them into a 3 way tie with a 1-1 head to head record. This will then push them to the next tie breaker of points allowed. They are definitely not in the drivers seat for this scenario and are relying on Krakatoa and the Berlin Bombers pulling out wins in their games to give them this shot. However if this does occur, Salvador has to allow 70 fewer points than Dallas sunday. Dallas is at 355 PtsAlwd, Salvador is at 425. It's a huge obstacle but they are not eliminated.
Gaurda
Nothing has changed really in the Garuda Conf as far as i can tell at a quick glance. War Machine is still in the drivers seat for the 7th spot but the 8th spot is still in contention by 3 teams- St Mary's, Greece and Angola. St mary's is on a 3 game slide and has a serious chance of being knocked out of the playoffs if they can't hang on in the last game against Similan. Having lost to both Angola and Greece earlier in the season, St Mary's will be eliminated if they end up at an 8-8 tie with either Angola or Greece.
Angola actually has a solid shot of moving into 8th place as they have the easiest last opponent (georgetown) while the other two teams play other locked playoff contenders.
None of those teams cannot afford to lose their next game, and yet at the same time each of these teams are relying on each other to lose in order to make it in. Greece has a slight advantage over Angola with a head to head win but facing off a tough Karls team does not help them.
Week 16 is going to have a number of critical games, Buffalo vs Taiping, the 6 teams contending for the 8th place spot in both conferences, Exiles vs Canabis. This looks to be an interesting last game of the season. Not usually going to see so many spots up for grabs at the last week.
Rnk ... Off ... Def ... SoS ... Team
1 ........ 1 ........ 1 ........ 0.440 ........ Manila Gorillas (+1)
2 ........ 2 ........ 3 ........ 0.467 ........ TAIPING GOLDEN CATS (-1)
3 ........ 6 ........ 2 ........ 0.471 ........ Detroit Destroyers
4 ........ 7 ........ 5 ........ 0.444 ........ Cannabis Blazers
5 ........ 4 ........ 7 ........ 0.484 ........ Hanoi Hot Karls (+1)
6 ........ 3 ........ 6 ........ 0.413 ........ Windsor Exiles (+1)
7 ........ 8 ........ 8 ........ 0.524 ........ Prague Pulverizing Ponies (-2)
8 ........ 5 ........ 4 ........ 0.431 ........ Buffalo Knights
9 ........ 9 ........ 9 ........ 0.449 ........ Similan Reef Sharks
10 ........ 12 ........ 14 ........ 0.484 ........ Superior Grizzlies
11 ........ 10 ........ 11 ........ 0.467 ........ Berlin Bombers
12 ........ 17 ........ 13 ........ 0.516 ........ Mount Krakatoa Eruption (+1)
13 ........ 11 ........ 10 ........ 0.449 ........ Vella Gulf Destroyers (-1)
14 ........ 13 ........ 19 ........ 0.538 ........ WAR MACHINE
15 ........ 16 ........ 15 ........ 0.484 ........ Saint Mary's School for the Blind (+1)
16 ........ 15 ........ 12 ........ 0.489 ........ Dallas Devils (-1)
17 ........ 18 ........ 20 ........ 0.489 ........ Pamplona Bulls
18 ........ 14 ........ 18 ........ 0.498 ........ Angola Dragons
19 ........ 19 ........ 16 ........ 0.498 ........ Salvador Fantasty Football Pups (+1)
20 ........ 20 ........ 17 ........ 0.480 ........ Greece Lightning (-1)
21 ........ 21 ........ 22 ........ 0.520 ........ Stanley Bears (+1)
22 ........ 22 ........ 21 ........ 0.564 ........ Amity Great Whites (-1)
23 ........ 23 ........ 23 ........ 0.529 ........ Cebu Alliance
24 ........ 24 ........ 26 ........ 0.533 ........ Georgetown United (+2)
25 ........ 26 ........ 25 ........ 0.529 ........ Midway Maulers (-1)
26 ........ 25 ........ 24 ........ 0.533 ........ Okinawa Ronin (-1)
27 ........ 27 ........ 29 ........ 0.538 ........ Templar Knights
28 ........ 29 ........ 28 ........ 0.529 ........ Qeynos Rangers
29 ........ 30 ........ 27 ........ 0.578 ........ Vancouver Hailstorm
30 ........ 28 ........ 31 ........ 0.507 ........ St. Petersburg Boreal (+1)
31 ........ 31 ........ 30 ........ 0.556 ........ OREGON LUMBERJACKS (-1)
32 ........ 32 ........ 32 ........ 0.569 ........ Orlando Tropic Thunder
