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Forum > South Atlantic Pro League > Africa Conference > Predictions & Projections for Week 11
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FLGator
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I've used the old Microsoft Excel spreadsheet prepared by Satchmo-n-Dizzy to provide these predictions to CPL for a couple of seasons. By this point in the season they seem to be fairly accurate. If you're unfamiliar with them...they are not "my predictions." I input the 32 teams into an Excel worksheet, then fill in the scores for each week. The worksheet has accumulated 10 weeks worth of data and using that data it has projected the scores for this weeks game as well as the projected outcome for each team. Because the Elephant conference went 10-6 against the Lion Conference their side of the projector has a 130-126 win/loss ratio.

Other factors such as the Equatorial Guinea Experience benefiting from playing the inept Sahara ShadowChasers in the inter-conference game also skew the numbers...though less so at this point in the season than earlier on. A team, such as the West Nile Virus, that was "trying" early on and is now giving up 400+ points per game also messes with the numbers...there's nothing that can be done in those circumstances.

They are what they are...an imperfect projection tool for your amusement and discussion. If your team is projected to lose...don't yell at me. Hate the projector and prove it wrong.
 
FLGator
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Lion Conference

Rk__Team_________________________W__L__T___%____PF____PA__
..1 . . Angola Spider Monkeez………………..16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 5,435 . . ...178
..2 . . South African Ridgebacks……………..15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . ..94% . . 1,226 . . ...321
..3 . . Seychelles Island Sea Wolves………..12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . 1,382 . . ...288
..4 . . Pangani Peckerwoods…………………12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . 4,153 . . ...238
..5 . . Dar es Salaam Warrior Kings…………12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . ...872 . . ...275
..6 . . Kilwa Polar Bears……………………….10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . 4,258 . . ...405
..7 . . African Fever………..……………………..9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . ..56% . . 1,353 . . ...435
..8 . . Tanzania Mountaineers………………....9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . ..56% . . 1,272 . . ...463
..9 . . Port Harcourt Playmakers………..……...8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . ..50% . . 2,266 . . ...370
..10 . . Rwanda Royal Knights………………...6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . 1,387 . . ...470
..11 . . Tanzania Lumberjacks………………...6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . ...734 . . ...592
..12 . . Ethiopia Devils…………………………..5 . . 11 . . 0 . . ..31% . . ...706 . . ...577
..13 . . Cape Town Crusaders………………...3 . . 13 . . 0 . . ..19% . . 2,899 . . ...611
..14 . . Angola Dream…………………………..2 . . 14 . . 0 . . ..13% . . ...746 . . 1,128
..15 . . Sahara ShadowChasers………..…....1 . . 15 . . 0 . . ....6% . . ...131 . . 4,713
..16 . . West Nile Virus………..………………..0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . .....46 . . 18,305

South African Ridgebacks vs African Fever (51-27) Spread: 24
Angola Spider Monkeez vs Cape Town Crusaders (63-9) Spread: 54
Pangani Peckerwoods vs Port Harcourt Playmakers (31-13) Spread: 18
Dar es Salaam Warrior Kings vs Kilwa Polar Bears (33-24) Spread: 9
Angola Dream vs Sahara ShadowChasers (259-9) Spread: 250
Seychelles Island Sea Wolves vs Tanzania Lumberjacks (47-19) Spread: 28
Tanzania Mountaineers vs Ethiopia Devils (52-27) Spread: 25
Rwanda Royal Knights vs West Nile Virus (945-3) Spread: 942
 
FLGator
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Elephant Conference

Rk__Team_________________________W__L__T___%____PF____PA__
..1 . . Ghost Riders In The Sky……………….16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 1,262 . . 145
..2 . . Somalia Pirates…………………………15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . ..94% . . ...660 . . 211
..3 . . Dakar Dragons………………………….14 . . ..2 . . 0 . . ..88% . . ...641 . . 289
..4 . . Cairo Emperors…………………………12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . ...518 . . 288
..5 . . Boston Dogs…………………………….12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . ...529 . . 405
..6 . . Somalia Warlords……………………….11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . ..69% . . ...610 . . 403
..7 . . The Chad OchoCinco…………………..10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . ...664 . . 505
..8 . . Angola Blood Diamonds……………….10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . ...413 . . 375
..9 . . Kickin Djibouti……………………………..7 . . ..9 . . 0 . . ..44% . . ...491 . . 600
..10 . . Cote d'lvoire Clash……………………...6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . ...352 . . 465
..11 . . The African Predators…………………..5 . . 11 . . 0 . . ..31% . . ...309 . . 525
..12 . . Equatorial Guinea Experience………...5 . . 11 . . 0 . . ..31% . . ...637 . . 647
..13 . . Uganda Headhunters…………………..3 . . 13 . . 0 . . ..19% . . ...269 . . 596
..14 . . Cardiff Cobras…………………………...2 . . 14 . . 0 . . ..13% . . ...266 . . 703
..15 . . Sons of Anubis…………………………..2 . . 14 . . 0 . . ..13% . . ...224 . . 608
..16 . . Michigan Nation………………………....0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . ...242 . . 819

Dakar Dragons vs Michigan Nation (64-9) Spread: 55
Somalia Pirates vs Boston Dogs (32-16) Spread: 16
Cairo Emperors vs Kickin Djibouti (37-20) Spread: 17
Ghost Riders In The Sky vs Equatorial Guinea Experience (106-11) Spread: 95
The African Predators vs Sons of Anubis (24-15) Spread: 9
Angola Blood Diamonds vs Cardiff Cobras (40-13) Spread: 27
Somalia Warlords vs Cote d'lvoire Clash (33-20) Spread: 13
The Chad OchoCinco vs Uganda Headhunters (53-18) Spread: 35
 
rjssob
HOOD
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Nice work Gator....thanks!
 
Livestrong
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I really like seeing Dakar rocking it over in Elephant. Keep it up Head!!!
 
killertoad
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Wow nice work man!!
 
FLGator
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Originally posted by killertoad
Wow nice work man!!


They're nothing compared to the coaches poll and writeups...

...keep 'em coming!
 
killertoad
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Originally posted by FLGator
They're nothing compared to the coaches poll and writeups...

...keep 'em coming!


No way man, mine are all train of thought rants. This is some solid shit. I wouldn't have the 1st idea how to do what you did here
 
GMathiasf
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Thanks for doing this man. Wish I had time to do write-ups, but I have to get to bed now. Hard to imagine that C85 will lose 5 in a row coming up, but that's what the projector has. I know one thing is for sure, we'll cover that spread. Fuckin' Michigan Nation went the way of the douchebag. Good games this week. I'm intrigued by DWSK/Kilwa and PHP/Pangani in lollion and of course, Boston/Somalia highlights Elephant. Looking forward to that Cote/Somalia game as well.
 
jsully75
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Originally posted by GMathiasf
Thanks for doing this man. Wish I had time to do write-ups, but I have to get to bed now. Hard to imagine that C85 will lose 5 in a row coming up, but that's what the projector has. I know one thing is for sure, we'll cover that spread. Fuckin' Michigan Nation went the way of the douchebag. Good games this week. I'm intrigued by DWSK/Kilwa and PHP/Pangani in lollion and of course, Boston/Somalia highlights Elephant. Looking forward to that Cote/Somalia game as well.


I think the projector is spot on Boston/Pirates game...
 
Notak
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Originally posted by GMathiasf
Thanks for doing this man. Wish I had time to do write-ups, but I have to get to bed now. Hard to imagine that C85 will lose 5 in a row coming up, but that's what the projector has. I know one thing is for sure, we'll cover that spread. Fuckin' Michigan Nation went the way of the douchebag. Good games this week. I'm intrigued by DWSK/Kilwa and PHP/Pangani in lollion and of course, Boston/Somalia highlights Elephant. Looking forward to that Cote/Somalia game as well.


I agree with that. Looking forward to all those games
 
stizz
Chillin'
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should have taken EGE and the points imo
 
jsully75
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Well, Dogs beat the spread...
 
hays23
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Originally posted by jsully75
Well, Dogs beat the spread...


clash too
 
VegasABD
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ABD didn't
 
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