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Forum > Oceania AA Leagues > Oceania AA #1 > Alpha Predictions Week 14- Playoff projections
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larandtra
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Gonna do this a little differently since there are so many games with Playoff Implications:
Taylor- Playing for a top seed. Guam should not provide a problem and then games with two teams fighting for the last playoff spot. Taylor holds the tiebreak over PM but Trilla holds it over Taylor. Taylor just needs to keep winning and let the chips fall where they may. They should easily dispatch Guam.
Remaining: McNuggets, Norfolk

Trilla- Game with Telstar which they should win. Like Taylor, they need to keep winning to get the top seed, but, have a tough game week 15 when they face a PM team they have not beaten since season 4. All the games have been close, but, Trilla has not been able to get over the hump. They should dispatch Telstar to stay with one loss.
Remaining: PM, Cobden

PM- Toughest remaining schedule after the game with Bendigo. Bendigo needs the win badly but PM wants to lock down a top seed and with two tough games against Trilla and the Danes remaining, they wont falter in this game.
Remaining Trilla, Danish

Danish- After a tough loss to GCMM, The Danes need to win. They get CPU Shrooms which they should easily defeat. That sets them up with a couple of tough final games in order to climb back into the hunt for a top 3 seed.
Remaining: Bendigo, PM

GCMM- With the big win over the Danes( and congrats for being the only upstart A team to beat one of the top AA vets this season), GCMM can hold serve the last three games and hang onto that 5th spot. It still means they have to face one of the vets again, but, at least they get that seed and become the highest ranked A newcomer going into the playoffs. This team is a worry for any of the top 4 when the playoffs come around and noone wants the #4 seed. They will dispatch Suva easily.
Remaining: Siracusa, Guam

McNuggets: After the huge win over Cobden they have all but assured themselves of a playoff spot even with one game remaining they will most likely lose. The Aussies will provide no problems and the McNuggets Hold the tie break over Cobden & bendigo, but, not over Norfolk.
Remaining: Taylor, Puerto Rico

Norfolk: Off the definately painful loss to Telstar in a game they desperately needed, They get Cobden. Here is the opportunity to grab the tie breaker over Cobden, Bendigo, & McNuggets. They need this one badly and could possibly damage Cobdens shot at the playoffs. Even with a win, they still have one game remaining they will probably not win. Norfolk barely pulls this out on Cobden and pretty much locks in a playoff spot.
Remaining: Aussies, Taylor

Bendigo- They have the toughest road to hang on to a playoff spot. Whereas Norfolk & McNuggets have an advantage on them, Cobden does not. After PM, Bendigo still has the Danes before a season ender against hapless Suva. The back half has killed Bendigo and they are holding on for dear life to reach the playoffs in the last spot.
Remaining: Danish, Suva

Cobden: The earlier in the season 9-6 loss to Bendigo may come back to bite them. They still have one loss remaining to Trilla in the season finale and since Trilla has something to play for, they will be ready. If they lose this game to Norfolk, they may find themselves losing out in a tiebreaker.
Remaining: Telstar, Trilla

Projections: Note that the top 4 could end up in any direction but for the first time this season, Ill be a bit of a homer.
1. Taylor 15-1
2. PM (Yes I am going to go ahead and do this because of Trillas history against PM and the Danes playing some games way to close for comfort) 15-1
Taylor gets the tie breaker over PM
3. Trilla- 14-2
4. Danes- 13-3
5. GCMM 12-4
6. Norfolk 10-6
7. McNuggets 10-6
Norfolk Holds the tie break over the Nuggets
8. Bendigo 9-7
9. Cobden 9-7
Bendigo gets the last spot by virtue of the tiebreaker over Cobden.

10. Siracusa 7-9
11- Shrooms 6-10
12. Guam 4-12
13. Telstar 4-12
14- Puerto Rico 3-13
15- Aussies 1-15
16. Suva 0-16
 
masterrdogg
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great read.
 
Rever
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Nice Write up... rev
 
Frozen Heat
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Great job and better than ever. I'm hoping a couple of teams can take down the Danish in the final three games and give us that home game in the first round of the playoffs.

-WJ
 
Rever
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anyone else get 2 away games in a row?

http://goallineblitz.com/game/team.pl?team_id=1091

@ thrilla
@Codden ?

like i'm hurting enough with 3 wins this yr now i'm missing a payday

Is this a bug or has anyone else had 2 away games in a row midseason?...Rev
 
Ted Buckland
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Nice write up larandtra, I`m having to act as DC this game along with OC. GL, it should be a Good game!
 
Frozen Heat
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Originally posted by Rever
anyone else get 2 away games in a row?

http://goallineblitz.com/game/team.pl?team_id=1091

@ thrilla
@Codden ?

like i'm hurting enough with 3 wins this yr now i'm missing a payday

Is this a bug or has anyone else had 2 away games in a row midseason?...Rev


I had two home games in a row

GO GCMM!!!

-WJ
 
Rever
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Cool ty Wolf...Guess thats just how it falls ... Rev
Last edited Mar 23, 2009 12:04:52
 
Ted Buckland
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After todays games, its possible that the danes could lose out, which would let GCMM jump up to 4th if i`m correct
 
Frozen Heat
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The Danish would have to lose two games. They actually have three tough teams to play with one opponent being an outright favorite imo(PM).

***EDIT***
It won't the Nuggets beating them

GO GCMM!!!

-WJ
Last edited Mar 23, 2009 13:46:32
 
Ted Buckland
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Originally posted by Wolfpack Justice
The Danish would have to lose two games. They actually have three tough teams to play with one opponent being an outright favorite imo(PM).

GO GCMM!!!

-WJ


Don`t forget a desperate team trying to make the playoffs that is putting 110% into everything they do
 
Frozen Heat
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I think you guys or the Mcs could knock them off but I wouldn't call you favorites over the Danish.

***EDIT***
I forgot the Mcs went CPU so it will have to be you guys and PM that beat them it would appear.

GO GCMM!!!

-WJ
Last edited Mar 23, 2009 13:45:46
 
ChocoKiwi
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GCMM4LYF IMO TBH THX IRL
 
Ted Buckland
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Originally posted by Wolfpack Justice
I think you guys or the Mcs could knock them off but I wouldn't call you favorites over the Danish.

GO GCMM!!!

-WJ


nah.. were not favourites..but were a hungry team
 
Frozen Heat
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RoD muthagrabba!!!

-WJ
 
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