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Forum > Europe West AA League > Europe West AA #3 > Season 8 Zeta playoff picture
fnordish
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With 2 games left for everyone we have the following....

1-2 Iceland Bezerkers - They have the inside lane on the run to the final corner. They will likely kill the gutted Arkham team, then just need a tie vs Denmark Destruction in the final game.

1-3 Denmark Destruction - They control their run for the number 1 seed. They need to beat a Manlets team, then beat the other big dog in what has to be the best final game matchup I have ever seen on GLB. Worst they end up is 3rd seed.

2-3 BOZ Sneaky Buffalo - There is a very highly unlikely chance at a 2nd seed(would need Denmark to lose both games, and then to win both of theirs). Even if the Buffalo lose both games they own the head to head vs the Middelburg team which sets them in 3rd seed. They face Warsaw, then Miscelona.

4-7 Middelburg Mighty Dutchmen - They have the inside line on the 4th seed following the Chuck and Warsaw defeats this 'week'. If they win both games nobody can touch them. Since the next game is vs the Cowboys, their final game vs Hollywood, I think a lot of teams will be pulling for a Hollywood upset.
Now for the pile-up at 9-5, I will use the current order of the league page for the order I address them:

4-9 Chuck Roundhouse Kicks to the Face - Last games FG loss to the Gremlins had to sting. With the next game vs the Alps I find it unlikely this team will be missing the playoffs. They close out the season facing Helsinki. They do own the Head to Head vs Middelburg if they can get the same record. They also own H2H vs Miscelona, and Warsaw.

4-9 Miscelona Manlets - I don't envy this team at all, they get to face Denmark then BOZ. If any of the 9 and 5 teams miss the playoffs this season, this is the most likely one. Personally I am not penciling in a L for either game though, this team can win either game with a little luck. They do own Head to Head vs both of the 7 and 7 teams, so unless they get in a strange 3 way tie breaker, they should still make the playoffs. They Have H2H vs Warsaw, but not againist Chuck.

4-9 Warsaw Wolves - This team is suffering from a tough cross conference season opener(vs the likely #1 alpha seed Admirals), and an upset loss to the Manlets. The more they win the better their chances are, the last two games are vs BOZ, and FMA who will be backed into a corner fighting for their playoff lives. They don't have H2H vs either of the other 9 and 5 teams.

4-10 Flying Monkeeh Armada - This team has a very unlikely shot 4th seed(Need Chuck and Middelburg to lose both games, while they win out). They face Hollywood, then Warsaw. These guys will be praying for alot of the other teams, but the single best thing they can do for themselves is beat Warsaw in the last game.

4-10 New Jersey Crocodiles - The team outside of the top 8 most likely to finish in it. Simply because they play Vacant City, then Copenhagen. They own H2H vs Miscelona, and Orange County.

4-10 Orange County Gremlins - The upset win vs Chuck kept their slim playoff hopes alive. They need to beat Helsinki, and Vacant City and pray for some of those teams right above them to stumble quite a bit. They own H2H vs Chuck and FMA.
Last edited Mar 23, 2009 10:28:34
 
Stokes36
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Great write up!


Let's go DestructioN!!
 
Jayadamo
Vol4Life
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Originally posted by Stokes36
Great write up!


Let's go DestructioN!!


Chuck Chuck Chuck!
 
mooks77
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Originally posted by fnordish


4-9 Chuck Roundhouse Kicks to the Face - Last games FG loss to the Gremlins had to sting. With the next game vs the Alps I find it unlikely this team will be missing the playoffs. They close out the season facing Helsinki. They do own the Head to Head vs Middelburg if they can get the same record. They also own H2H vs Miscelona, and Warsaw.


What does Bort use for the head-to-head standings? Is it total points? We did beat them, but I don't think Bort takes that into account when doing the standings.
 
NotRippedYet
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Originally posted by mooks77
Originally posted by fnordish



4-9 Chuck Roundhouse Kicks to the Face - Last games FG loss to the Gremlins had to sting. With the next game vs the Alps I find it unlikely this team will be missing the playoffs. They close out the season facing Helsinki. They do own the Head to Head vs Middelburg if they can get the same record. They also own H2H vs Miscelona, and Warsaw.


What does Bort use for the head-to-head standings? Is it total points? We did beat them, but I don't think Bort takes that into account when doing the standings.


H2H is simple win lost, 3+ way ties are Points Scored, then Points Against.

The thing I don't know is the Points scored/PA just for that group of teams, or is it overall?
 
Jedgi
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Destruction!!!!

They look to AT LEAST go 1-1 in the last two games because they're playing Miscelona at the Annihilation Amphitheater (home).
 
fnordish
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Originally posted by NotRippedYet
Originally posted by mooks77

Originally posted by fnordish




4-9 Chuck Roundhouse Kicks to the Face - Last games FG loss to the Gremlins had to sting. With the next game vs the Alps I find it unlikely this team will be missing the playoffs. They close out the season facing Helsinki. They do own the Head to Head vs Middelburg if they can get the same record. They also own H2H vs Miscelona, and Warsaw.


What does Bort use for the head-to-head standings? Is it total points? We did beat them, but I don't think Bort takes that into account when doing the standings.


H2H is simple win lost, 3+ way ties are Points Scored, then Points Against.

The thing I don't know is the Points scored/PA just for that group of teams, or is it overall?


It is supposed to be PS/PA for the season. The problem is I think it got switched, if you look up our 9 and 5 teams, Chuck does not have the most points scored, they do have the lowest PA though.

Also this is only checked if the H2H match ups don't figure things out on their own.

For example:
A beats B, C, and D during the season but ends up with the same record. A gets the highest position, then B, C, and D go to the Points tie breakers.
 
NotRippedYet
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Last edited Mar 23, 2009 17:15:47
 
Liono
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I wonder if thats the case if the Gremlins still have a shot???
 
fnordish
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Originally posted by Liono
I wonder if thats the case if the Gremlins still have a shot???


On paper yes(You and Chuck at 9 and 7 for the last spot you would get it; FMA drops 1 game is a head to head match for last spot and you get in as well.).

In reality I personally think you don't(Chuck is playing what is basically a CPU team, and for the match up head to head for last spot you need the crocs to drop one of their two push over opponents). What is hurting you the most right now is that one point loss to NJ.

The wild card I think could work for you though is, a 3 way tie for the last spot, FMA>NJ>You>FMA, you have right now, the most points scored. {OC : 977, NJ : 812, FMA: 732} If on the other hand the tie breaker has gone to points allowed first, things aren't so good for you. {FMA : 378, NJ: 433, OC: 435}
 
Liono
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yah, its been a tough season. I warn you guys though. once Bort adds the lead pass... oohhhhhh me like! He seriously nerfed the QB this season. Ive neven thrown so many bad passes. and my vision is down too. once he fixes the power back situation, I think we will be a lot more competitive. and yes, I seriously think there should be a go for 2! It was a great game playing the Crocs. I just didnt have enough time to make it back down the field. that and i didnt implement a running out of time.. pass only... set. my bad on that one. lol.
 


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