at this point in the season i switch from power rankings, which is my subjective analysis of how i think each team has done in the league up to that point. i now do playoff seeding projections, ranked based on how i think the teams will finish, not how they are in my mind right now.
i will do all 16 teams in each conference for this set of rankings, but after this week, once i feel a team doesnt have a chance at making the playoffs, they will not be ranked.
projected wins in bold, projected losses in italics
ALPHA
In:
1. Tulsa Doom
-Last Game: Arlington Avalanche (W)
-Upcoming Games: The Drunken Potato Farmers of Ayrshire, Stockholm Dynamites, Barcelona Assassins, Hell on Turff, Oslo Norsemen
-Projected Record: 15-1
2. Amsterdam Red Lights
-Last Game: The Drunken Potato Farmers of Ayrshire (W)
-Upcoming Games: Stockholm Dynamites, Barcelona Assassins, Hell on Turff, Oslo Norsemen, Madrid Pirates
-Projected Record: 14-2
3. Oslo Norsemen
-Last Game: Barcelona Assassins (W)
-Upcoming Games: Hell on Turff, Dresden Destroyers, Madrid Pirates, Amsterdam Red Lights, Tulsa Doom
-Projected Record: 13-3
4. Stockholm Dynamites
-Last Game: Madrid Pirates (W)
-Upcoming Games: Amsterdam Red Lights, Tulsa Doom, Helsinki Hitmen, Palmetto Gamecocks, Stockholm Storm
-Projected Record: 13-3
5. Dresden Destroyers
-Last Game: Hell on Turff (W)
-Upcoming Games: Louisville Cards, Oslo Norsemen, Amsterdam Magic Dragons, Madrid Pirates, Newcastle Magpies
-Projected Record: 12-4
6. Amsterdam Magic Dragons
-Last Game: Palmetto Gamecocks (W)
-Upcoming Games: Stockholm Storm, Louisville Cards, Dresden Destroyers, Newcastle Magpies, Arlington Avalanche
-Projected Record: 11-5
7. Barcelona Assassins
-Last Game: Oslo Norsemen (L)
-Upcoming Games: Madrid Pirates, Amsterdam Red Lights, Tulsa Doom, Helsinki Hitmen, Palmetto Gamecocks
-Projected Record: 11-5
On the Bubble:
8. The Drunken Potato Farmers of Ayrshire
-Last Game: Amsterdam Red Lights (L)
-Upcoming Games: Tulsa Doom, Helsinki Hitmen, Palmetto Gamecocks, Stockholm Storm, Louisville Cards
-Projected Record: 9-7
9. Madrid Pirates
-Last Game: Stockholm Dynamites (L)
-Upcoming Games: Barcelona Assassins, Hell on Turff, Oslo Norsemen, Dresden Destroyers, Amsterdam Red Lights
-Projected Record: 9-7
Out:
10. Helsinki Hitmen
-Last Game: Newcastle Magpies (W)
-Upcoming Games: Arlington Avalanche, The Drunken Potato Farmers of Ayrshire, Stockholm Dynamites, Barcelona Assassins, Hell on Turff
-Projected Record: 7-9
11. Newcastle Magpies
-Last Game: Helsinki Hitmen (L)
-Upcoming Games: Palmetto Gamecocks, Stockholm Storm, Louisville Cards, Amsterdam Magic Dragons, Dresden Destroyers
-Projected Record:
12. Hell on Turff
-Last Game: Dresden Destroyers (W)
-Upcoming Games: Oslo Norsemen, Madrid Pirates, Amsterdam Red Lights, Tulsa Doom, Helsinki Hitmen
-Projected Record: 5-11
13. Louisville Cards
-Last Game: Stockholm Storm (W)
-Upcoming Games: Dresden Destroyers, Amsterdam Magic Dragons, Newcastle Magpies, Arlington Avalanche, The Drunken Potato Farmers of Ayrshire
-Projected Record: 4-12
14. Palmetto Gamecocks
-Last Game: Amsterdam Magic Dragons (L)
-Upcoming Games: Newcastle Magpies, Arlington Avalanche, The Drunken Potato Farmers of Ayrshire, Stockholm Dynamites, Barcelona Assassins
-Projected Record: 2-14
15. Arlington Avalanche
-Last Game: Tulsa Doom (L)
-Upcoming Games: Helsinki Hitmen, Palmetto Gamecocks, Stockholm Storm, Louisville Cards, Amsterdam Magic Dragons
-Projected Record: 1-15
16. Stockholm Storm
-Last Game: Louisville Cards (L)
-Upcoming Games: Amsterdam Magic Dragons, Newcastle Magpies, Arlington Avalanche, The Drunken Potato Farmers of Ayrshire, Stockholm Dynamites
-Projected Record: 0-16
ZETA
In:
1. Krakow Knights
-Last Game: Arlanda Jets (W)
-Upcoming Games: Venice Freebirds, Bordeaux Carlin, Monte Carlo Red Glare, Achei Crotone, Chrulle Mavericks
-Projected Record: 16-0
2. Lyon Winemakers
-Last Game: Bolderslev Pirates (W)
-Upcoming Games: Victoria Assassins, Stockholm Assassins, Berlin Spartans, The Berlin Wall, Newark Nomads
-Projected Record: 15-1
3. Jacksonville Jackalopes
-Last Game: Atlanta 404 (W)
-Upcoming Games: Arlanda Jets, Venice Freebirds, Bordeaux Carlin, Monte Carlo Red Glare, Achei Crotone
-Projected Record: 14-2
4. The Berlin Wall
-Last Game: Bordeaux Carlin (W)
-Upcoming Games: Monte Carlo Red Glare, Achei Crotone, Chrulle Mavericks, Lyon Winemakers, Bolderslev Pirates
-Projected Record: 12-4
5. Newark Nomads
-Last Game: Venice Freebirds (W)
-Upcoming Games: Bordeaux Carlin, Monte Carlo Red Glare, Achei Crotone, Chrulle Mavericks, Lyon Winemakers
-Projected Record: 12-4
6. Victoria Assassins
-Last Game: Chrulle Mavericks (W)
-Upcoming Games: Lyon Winemakers, Bolderslev Pirates, Atlanta 404, Stockholm Assassins, Berlin Spartans
-Projected Record: 11-5
7. Berlin Spartans
-Last Game: Monte Carlo Red Glare (W)
-Upcoming Games: Achei Crotone, Chrulle Mavericks, Lyon Winemakers, Bolderslev Pirates, Victoria Assassins
-Projected Record: 8-8
On the Bubble:
8. Venice Freebirds
-Last Game: Newark Nomads (L)
-Upcoming Games: Krakow Knights, Jacksonville Jackalopes, Arlanda Jets, Atlanta 404, Bordeaux Carlin
-Projected Record: 7-9
9. Monte Carlo Red Glare
-Last Game: Berlin Spartans (L)
-Upcoming Games: The Berlin Wall, Newark Nomads, Krakow Knights, Jacksonville Jackalopes, Arlanda Jets
-Projected Record: 7-9
Out:
10. Bolderslev Pirates
-Last Game: Lyon Winemakers (L)
-Upcoming Games: Atlanta 404, Victoria Assassins, Stockholm Assassins, Berlin Spartans, The Berlin Wall
-Projected Record: 6-10
11. Stockholm Assassins
-Last Game: Achei Crotone (W)
-Upcoming Games: Chrulle Mavericks, Lyon Winemakers, Bolderslev Pirates, Victoria Assassins, Atlanta 404
-Projected Record: 6-10
12. Bordeaux Carlin
-Last Game: The Berlin Wall (L)
-Upcoming Games: Newark Nomads, Krakow Knights, Jacksonville Jackalopes, Arlanda Jets, Venice Freebirds
-Projected Record: 5-11
13. Arlanda Jets
-Last Game: Krakow Knights (L)
-Upcoming Games: Jacksonville Jackalopes, Atlanta 404, Venice Freebirds, Bordeaux Carlin, Monte Carlo Red Glare
-Projected Record: 3-13
14. Achei Crotone
-Last Game: Stockholm Assassins (L)
-Upcoming Games: Berlin Spartans, The Berlin Wall, Newark Nomads, Krakow Knights, Jacksonville Jackalopes
-Projected Record: 2-14
15. Chrulle Mavericks
-Last Game: Victoria Assassins (L)
-Upcoming Games: Stockholm Assassins, Berlin Spartans, The Berlin Wall, Newark Nomads, Krakow Knights
-Projected Record: 1-15
16. Atlanta 404
-Last Game: Jacksonville Jackalopes (L)
-Upcoming Games: Bolderslev Pirates, Arlanda Jets, Victoria Assassins, Venice Freebirds, Stockholm Assassins
-Projected Record: 0-16
Thoughts: Monte Carlo is in a very tough spot right now. There are only two ways I can see them sneaking in to the dance. One is to have Bordeaux beat Venice on the last game of the season, leaving them tied with no one who has beaten them for the 8th spot. The other would be to have Stockholm beat Bolderslev and have everything else fall into plan, which would leave them at a 3 way tie that MCRG or Stockholm will win based on points scored. If Madrid were to beat one of the four teams I have it pegged to lose to, it would lock up the eight spot, but if it doesn't, then the Ayrshire loss will keep them out. Tulsa has a very tough stretch ahead, but they, along with Oslo, control their own destinies, and the winner of their week 16 game would win Alpha if they take care of business up until then.
i will do all 16 teams in each conference for this set of rankings, but after this week, once i feel a team doesnt have a chance at making the playoffs, they will not be ranked.
projected wins in bold, projected losses in italics
ALPHA
In:
1. Tulsa Doom
-Last Game: Arlington Avalanche (W)
-Upcoming Games: The Drunken Potato Farmers of Ayrshire, Stockholm Dynamites, Barcelona Assassins, Hell on Turff, Oslo Norsemen
-Projected Record: 15-1
2. Amsterdam Red Lights
-Last Game: The Drunken Potato Farmers of Ayrshire (W)
-Upcoming Games: Stockholm Dynamites, Barcelona Assassins, Hell on Turff, Oslo Norsemen, Madrid Pirates
-Projected Record: 14-2
3. Oslo Norsemen
-Last Game: Barcelona Assassins (W)
-Upcoming Games: Hell on Turff, Dresden Destroyers, Madrid Pirates, Amsterdam Red Lights, Tulsa Doom
-Projected Record: 13-3
4. Stockholm Dynamites
-Last Game: Madrid Pirates (W)
-Upcoming Games: Amsterdam Red Lights, Tulsa Doom, Helsinki Hitmen, Palmetto Gamecocks, Stockholm Storm
-Projected Record: 13-3
5. Dresden Destroyers
-Last Game: Hell on Turff (W)
-Upcoming Games: Louisville Cards, Oslo Norsemen, Amsterdam Magic Dragons, Madrid Pirates, Newcastle Magpies
-Projected Record: 12-4
6. Amsterdam Magic Dragons
-Last Game: Palmetto Gamecocks (W)
-Upcoming Games: Stockholm Storm, Louisville Cards, Dresden Destroyers, Newcastle Magpies, Arlington Avalanche
-Projected Record: 11-5
7. Barcelona Assassins
-Last Game: Oslo Norsemen (L)
-Upcoming Games: Madrid Pirates, Amsterdam Red Lights, Tulsa Doom, Helsinki Hitmen, Palmetto Gamecocks
-Projected Record: 11-5
On the Bubble:
8. The Drunken Potato Farmers of Ayrshire
-Last Game: Amsterdam Red Lights (L)
-Upcoming Games: Tulsa Doom, Helsinki Hitmen, Palmetto Gamecocks, Stockholm Storm, Louisville Cards
-Projected Record: 9-7
9. Madrid Pirates
-Last Game: Stockholm Dynamites (L)
-Upcoming Games: Barcelona Assassins, Hell on Turff, Oslo Norsemen, Dresden Destroyers, Amsterdam Red Lights
-Projected Record: 9-7
Out:
10. Helsinki Hitmen
-Last Game: Newcastle Magpies (W)
-Upcoming Games: Arlington Avalanche, The Drunken Potato Farmers of Ayrshire, Stockholm Dynamites, Barcelona Assassins, Hell on Turff
-Projected Record: 7-9
11. Newcastle Magpies
-Last Game: Helsinki Hitmen (L)
-Upcoming Games: Palmetto Gamecocks, Stockholm Storm, Louisville Cards, Amsterdam Magic Dragons, Dresden Destroyers
-Projected Record:
12. Hell on Turff
-Last Game: Dresden Destroyers (W)
-Upcoming Games: Oslo Norsemen, Madrid Pirates, Amsterdam Red Lights, Tulsa Doom, Helsinki Hitmen
-Projected Record: 5-11
13. Louisville Cards
-Last Game: Stockholm Storm (W)
-Upcoming Games: Dresden Destroyers, Amsterdam Magic Dragons, Newcastle Magpies, Arlington Avalanche, The Drunken Potato Farmers of Ayrshire
-Projected Record: 4-12
14. Palmetto Gamecocks
-Last Game: Amsterdam Magic Dragons (L)
-Upcoming Games: Newcastle Magpies, Arlington Avalanche, The Drunken Potato Farmers of Ayrshire, Stockholm Dynamites, Barcelona Assassins
-Projected Record: 2-14
15. Arlington Avalanche
-Last Game: Tulsa Doom (L)
-Upcoming Games: Helsinki Hitmen, Palmetto Gamecocks, Stockholm Storm, Louisville Cards, Amsterdam Magic Dragons
-Projected Record: 1-15
16. Stockholm Storm
-Last Game: Louisville Cards (L)
-Upcoming Games: Amsterdam Magic Dragons, Newcastle Magpies, Arlington Avalanche, The Drunken Potato Farmers of Ayrshire, Stockholm Dynamites
-Projected Record: 0-16
ZETA
In:
1. Krakow Knights
-Last Game: Arlanda Jets (W)
-Upcoming Games: Venice Freebirds, Bordeaux Carlin, Monte Carlo Red Glare, Achei Crotone, Chrulle Mavericks
-Projected Record: 16-0
2. Lyon Winemakers
-Last Game: Bolderslev Pirates (W)
-Upcoming Games: Victoria Assassins, Stockholm Assassins, Berlin Spartans, The Berlin Wall, Newark Nomads
-Projected Record: 15-1
3. Jacksonville Jackalopes
-Last Game: Atlanta 404 (W)
-Upcoming Games: Arlanda Jets, Venice Freebirds, Bordeaux Carlin, Monte Carlo Red Glare, Achei Crotone
-Projected Record: 14-2
4. The Berlin Wall
-Last Game: Bordeaux Carlin (W)
-Upcoming Games: Monte Carlo Red Glare, Achei Crotone, Chrulle Mavericks, Lyon Winemakers, Bolderslev Pirates
-Projected Record: 12-4
5. Newark Nomads
-Last Game: Venice Freebirds (W)
-Upcoming Games: Bordeaux Carlin, Monte Carlo Red Glare, Achei Crotone, Chrulle Mavericks, Lyon Winemakers
-Projected Record: 12-4
6. Victoria Assassins
-Last Game: Chrulle Mavericks (W)
-Upcoming Games: Lyon Winemakers, Bolderslev Pirates, Atlanta 404, Stockholm Assassins, Berlin Spartans
-Projected Record: 11-5
7. Berlin Spartans
-Last Game: Monte Carlo Red Glare (W)
-Upcoming Games: Achei Crotone, Chrulle Mavericks, Lyon Winemakers, Bolderslev Pirates, Victoria Assassins
-Projected Record: 8-8
On the Bubble:
8. Venice Freebirds
-Last Game: Newark Nomads (L)
-Upcoming Games: Krakow Knights, Jacksonville Jackalopes, Arlanda Jets, Atlanta 404, Bordeaux Carlin
-Projected Record: 7-9
9. Monte Carlo Red Glare
-Last Game: Berlin Spartans (L)
-Upcoming Games: The Berlin Wall, Newark Nomads, Krakow Knights, Jacksonville Jackalopes, Arlanda Jets
-Projected Record: 7-9
Out:
10. Bolderslev Pirates
-Last Game: Lyon Winemakers (L)
-Upcoming Games: Atlanta 404, Victoria Assassins, Stockholm Assassins, Berlin Spartans, The Berlin Wall
-Projected Record: 6-10
11. Stockholm Assassins
-Last Game: Achei Crotone (W)
-Upcoming Games: Chrulle Mavericks, Lyon Winemakers, Bolderslev Pirates, Victoria Assassins, Atlanta 404
-Projected Record: 6-10
12. Bordeaux Carlin
-Last Game: The Berlin Wall (L)
-Upcoming Games: Newark Nomads, Krakow Knights, Jacksonville Jackalopes, Arlanda Jets, Venice Freebirds
-Projected Record: 5-11
13. Arlanda Jets
-Last Game: Krakow Knights (L)
-Upcoming Games: Jacksonville Jackalopes, Atlanta 404, Venice Freebirds, Bordeaux Carlin, Monte Carlo Red Glare
-Projected Record: 3-13
14. Achei Crotone
-Last Game: Stockholm Assassins (L)
-Upcoming Games: Berlin Spartans, The Berlin Wall, Newark Nomads, Krakow Knights, Jacksonville Jackalopes
-Projected Record: 2-14
15. Chrulle Mavericks
-Last Game: Victoria Assassins (L)
-Upcoming Games: Stockholm Assassins, Berlin Spartans, The Berlin Wall, Newark Nomads, Krakow Knights
-Projected Record: 1-15
16. Atlanta 404
-Last Game: Jacksonville Jackalopes (L)
-Upcoming Games: Bolderslev Pirates, Arlanda Jets, Victoria Assassins, Venice Freebirds, Stockholm Assassins
-Projected Record: 0-16
Thoughts: Monte Carlo is in a very tough spot right now. There are only two ways I can see them sneaking in to the dance. One is to have Bordeaux beat Venice on the last game of the season, leaving them tied with no one who has beaten them for the 8th spot. The other would be to have Stockholm beat Bolderslev and have everything else fall into plan, which would leave them at a 3 way tie that MCRG or Stockholm will win based on points scored. If Madrid were to beat one of the four teams I have it pegged to lose to, it would lock up the eight spot, but if it doesn't, then the Ayrshire loss will keep them out. Tulsa has a very tough stretch ahead, but they, along with Oslo, control their own destinies, and the winner of their week 16 game would win Alpha if they take care of business up until then.






























