Hey all, I didn't feel like writing up the games this week, so I have taken a look at the playoff picture instead. I have looked at each of the remaining games for each team and classified each game as a definite loss, probable loss, even match, probable win, or definite win. Here we go... (Of course, just remember that I am always wrong, but this should start some major arguing!)
DECATUR STALEYS (7-1)
Definite Losses: none
Probable Loss: none
Even: Honolulu (Really too close to call, but I'm giving the slight edge to DECATUR)
Probable Win: none
Definite Wins: AAC, Ayers Rock, Fiji, Alaska, Dayton, Rochester, Dunedin
Projected result: 15-1 or 14-2
Honolulu Skulls (7-1)
Definite Losses: none
Probable Loss: none
Even: DECATUR STALEYS (Really too close to call, but I'm giving the slight edge to DECATUR)
Probable Win: Christmas
Definite Wins: Ayers Rock, Fiji, Alaska, Dayton, Rochester, Dunedin
Projected result: 15-1 or 14-2
Komodo Dragons (6-2)
Definite Losses:
Probable Loss:
Even: Port Moresby (I'm giving the slight edge to Komodo)
Probable Win: AAC
Definite Wins: Dayton, Suva, Lexington, Samoa, Ayers Rock, Fiji
Projected result: 14-2 (maybe as low as 12-4)
Christmas Islanders (6-2)
Definite Losses:
Probable Loss: Honolulu
Even: Port Moresby (I'm giving the slight edge to Port Moresby)
Probable Win: AAC
Definite Wins: Lexington, Samoa, Ayers Rock, Fiji, Alaska
Projected result: 12-4 (as high as 14-2 and as low as 11-5)
Fiji Rage (6-2)
Definite Losses: Honolulu, DECATUR, Christmas, Komodo
Probable Loss:
Even: Devonport (I'm giving the edge to Devonport)
Probable Win: Alaska, Dunedin
Definite Wins: Rochester
Projected result: 9-7 (as high as 10-6 or as low as 7-9)
Port Moresby Scallywags (5-3)
Definite Losses:
Probable Loss:
Even: Komodo (picking Komodo), Christmas (picking Port Moresby)
Probable Win: Devonport
Definite Wins: Rochester, Dunedin, Suva, Lexington, Samoa
Projected result: 12-4 (as high as 13-3 or as low as 10-6)
Devonport Devils (4-4)
Definite Losses:
Probable Loss: Port Moresby
Even: Fiji (picking Devonport), AAC (picking Devonport)
Probable Win: Alaska, Samoa
Definite Wins: Suva, Lexington, Ayers Rock
Projected result: 11-5 (as high as 12-4 or as low as 7-9)
An Album Cover (4-4)
Definite Losses: DECATUR
Probable Loss: Christmas, Komodo
Even: Devonport (picking Devonport)
Probable Win:
Definite Wins: Rochester, Dunedin, Suva, Lexington
Projected result: 8-8 (as high as 11-5 or as low as 8-8)
Alaska Wild (4-4)
Definite Losses: Honolulu, DECATUR, Christmas
Probable Loss: Fiji, Devonport
Even: None
Probable Win: Dunedin
Definite Wins: Dayton, Rochester
Projected result: 7-9 (as high as 9-7 or as low as 6-10)
Samoa Savages (4-4)
Definite Losses: Komodo, Christmas, Port Moresby
Probable Loss: Devonport
Even: Dunedin (picking Samoa)
Probable Win:
Definite Wins: Suva, Lexington, Dayton
Projected result: 8-8 (as high as 9-7 or as low as 7-9)
Dunedin Drones (4-4)
Definite Losses: Port Moresby
Probable Loss: AAC, Fiji, Alaska
Even: Samoa (picking Samoa)
Probable Win: Ayers Rock
Definite Wins: none
Projected result: 5-11 (as high as 9-7 or as low as 4-12)
Ayers Rock Krakens (3-5)
Definite Losses: Honolulu, DECATUR, Christmas, Devonport, Komodo
Probable Loss: Dunedin
Even:
Probable Win: Rochester
Definite Wins: Suva
Projected result: 5-11 (as high as 6-10 or as low as 4-12)
Rochester Iroquois (2-6)
Definite Losses: Port Moresby, AAC, Fiji, Alaska, Honolulu, DECATUR
Probable Loss: Ayers Rock
Even: none
Probable Win: Dayton
Definite Wins: none
Projected result: 3-13 (as high as 4-12 or as low as 2-14)
Dayton Gumslingers (1-7) - new nickname
Definite Losses: Komodo, Alaska, Honolulu, DECATUR, Samoa
Probable Loss: Rochester
Even: none
Probable Win: none
Definite Wins: Suva, Lexington
Projected result: 3-13 (as high as 4-12)
Lexington Cruise Lines (0-8)
Definite Losses: Christmas, Devonport, Komodo, Dayton, Samoa, Port Moresby, AAC
Probable Loss: none
Even: none
Probable Win: none
Definite Wins: Suva
Projected result: 1-15
Suva Sparklets (0-8)
Definite Losses: Everyone
Probable Loss: one
Even: none
Probable Win: none
Definite Wins: none
Projected result: 0-16
So I project the final regular season rankings will be:
1: DECATUR (15-1)
2: Honolulu (14-2)
3: Komodo (14-2) (if DECATUR loses to Honolulu, then Komodo will win the tie breaker for 2 and DECATUR would be 3)
4: Port Moresby (12-4) (wins tie breaker vs Christmas)
5: Christmas (12-4)
6: Devonport (11-5)
7: Fiji (9-7)
8: Samoa (8-8) (wins tie breaker with AAC)
9: An Album Cover (8-8)
10: Alaska (7-9)
11: Dunedin (5-11) (wins tie breaker with Ayers Rock)
12: Ayers Rock (5-11)
13: Rochester (3-13) (wins tie breaker with Dayton)
14: Dayton (3-13)
15: Lexington (1-15)
16: Suva (0-16) - the only perfect team!
DECATUR STALEYS (7-1)
Definite Losses: none
Probable Loss: none
Even: Honolulu (Really too close to call, but I'm giving the slight edge to DECATUR)
Probable Win: none
Definite Wins: AAC, Ayers Rock, Fiji, Alaska, Dayton, Rochester, Dunedin
Projected result: 15-1 or 14-2
Honolulu Skulls (7-1)
Definite Losses: none
Probable Loss: none
Even: DECATUR STALEYS (Really too close to call, but I'm giving the slight edge to DECATUR)
Probable Win: Christmas
Definite Wins: Ayers Rock, Fiji, Alaska, Dayton, Rochester, Dunedin
Projected result: 15-1 or 14-2
Komodo Dragons (6-2)
Definite Losses:
Probable Loss:
Even: Port Moresby (I'm giving the slight edge to Komodo)
Probable Win: AAC
Definite Wins: Dayton, Suva, Lexington, Samoa, Ayers Rock, Fiji
Projected result: 14-2 (maybe as low as 12-4)
Christmas Islanders (6-2)
Definite Losses:
Probable Loss: Honolulu
Even: Port Moresby (I'm giving the slight edge to Port Moresby)
Probable Win: AAC
Definite Wins: Lexington, Samoa, Ayers Rock, Fiji, Alaska
Projected result: 12-4 (as high as 14-2 and as low as 11-5)
Fiji Rage (6-2)
Definite Losses: Honolulu, DECATUR, Christmas, Komodo
Probable Loss:
Even: Devonport (I'm giving the edge to Devonport)
Probable Win: Alaska, Dunedin
Definite Wins: Rochester
Projected result: 9-7 (as high as 10-6 or as low as 7-9)
Port Moresby Scallywags (5-3)
Definite Losses:
Probable Loss:
Even: Komodo (picking Komodo), Christmas (picking Port Moresby)
Probable Win: Devonport
Definite Wins: Rochester, Dunedin, Suva, Lexington, Samoa
Projected result: 12-4 (as high as 13-3 or as low as 10-6)
Devonport Devils (4-4)
Definite Losses:
Probable Loss: Port Moresby
Even: Fiji (picking Devonport), AAC (picking Devonport)
Probable Win: Alaska, Samoa
Definite Wins: Suva, Lexington, Ayers Rock
Projected result: 11-5 (as high as 12-4 or as low as 7-9)
An Album Cover (4-4)
Definite Losses: DECATUR
Probable Loss: Christmas, Komodo
Even: Devonport (picking Devonport)
Probable Win:
Definite Wins: Rochester, Dunedin, Suva, Lexington
Projected result: 8-8 (as high as 11-5 or as low as 8-8)
Alaska Wild (4-4)
Definite Losses: Honolulu, DECATUR, Christmas
Probable Loss: Fiji, Devonport
Even: None
Probable Win: Dunedin
Definite Wins: Dayton, Rochester
Projected result: 7-9 (as high as 9-7 or as low as 6-10)
Samoa Savages (4-4)
Definite Losses: Komodo, Christmas, Port Moresby
Probable Loss: Devonport
Even: Dunedin (picking Samoa)
Probable Win:
Definite Wins: Suva, Lexington, Dayton
Projected result: 8-8 (as high as 9-7 or as low as 7-9)
Dunedin Drones (4-4)
Definite Losses: Port Moresby
Probable Loss: AAC, Fiji, Alaska
Even: Samoa (picking Samoa)
Probable Win: Ayers Rock
Definite Wins: none
Projected result: 5-11 (as high as 9-7 or as low as 4-12)
Ayers Rock Krakens (3-5)
Definite Losses: Honolulu, DECATUR, Christmas, Devonport, Komodo
Probable Loss: Dunedin
Even:
Probable Win: Rochester
Definite Wins: Suva
Projected result: 5-11 (as high as 6-10 or as low as 4-12)
Rochester Iroquois (2-6)
Definite Losses: Port Moresby, AAC, Fiji, Alaska, Honolulu, DECATUR
Probable Loss: Ayers Rock
Even: none
Probable Win: Dayton
Definite Wins: none
Projected result: 3-13 (as high as 4-12 or as low as 2-14)
Dayton Gumslingers (1-7) - new nickname
Definite Losses: Komodo, Alaska, Honolulu, DECATUR, Samoa
Probable Loss: Rochester
Even: none
Probable Win: none
Definite Wins: Suva, Lexington
Projected result: 3-13 (as high as 4-12)
Lexington Cruise Lines (0-8)
Definite Losses: Christmas, Devonport, Komodo, Dayton, Samoa, Port Moresby, AAC
Probable Loss: none
Even: none
Probable Win: none
Definite Wins: Suva
Projected result: 1-15
Suva Sparklets (0-8)
Definite Losses: Everyone
Probable Loss: one
Even: none
Probable Win: none
Definite Wins: none
Projected result: 0-16
So I project the final regular season rankings will be:
1: DECATUR (15-1)
2: Honolulu (14-2)
3: Komodo (14-2) (if DECATUR loses to Honolulu, then Komodo will win the tie breaker for 2 and DECATUR would be 3)
4: Port Moresby (12-4) (wins tie breaker vs Christmas)
5: Christmas (12-4)
6: Devonport (11-5)
7: Fiji (9-7)
8: Samoa (8-8) (wins tie breaker with AAC)
9: An Album Cover (8-8)
10: Alaska (7-9)
11: Dunedin (5-11) (wins tie breaker with Ayers Rock)
12: Ayers Rock (5-11)
13: Rochester (3-13) (wins tie breaker with Dayton)
14: Dayton (3-13)
15: Lexington (1-15)
16: Suva (0-16) - the only perfect team!
Last edited Mar 13, 2009 09:21:30