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Forum > Oceania AA Leagues > Oceania AA #4 > Zeta Playoff Projections
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AnalogKid
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Hey all, I didn't feel like writing up the games this week, so I have taken a look at the playoff picture instead. I have looked at each of the remaining games for each team and classified each game as a definite loss, probable loss, even match, probable win, or definite win. Here we go... (Of course, just remember that I am always wrong, but this should start some major arguing!)


DECATUR STALEYS (7-1)
Definite Losses: none
Probable Loss: none
Even: Honolulu (Really too close to call, but I'm giving the slight edge to DECATUR)
Probable Win: none
Definite Wins: AAC, Ayers Rock, Fiji, Alaska, Dayton, Rochester, Dunedin
Projected result: 15-1 or 14-2


Honolulu Skulls (7-1)
Definite Losses: none
Probable Loss: none
Even: DECATUR STALEYS (Really too close to call, but I'm giving the slight edge to DECATUR)
Probable Win: Christmas
Definite Wins: Ayers Rock, Fiji, Alaska, Dayton, Rochester, Dunedin
Projected result: 15-1 or 14-2


Komodo Dragons (6-2)
Definite Losses:
Probable Loss:
Even: Port Moresby (I'm giving the slight edge to Komodo)
Probable Win: AAC
Definite Wins: Dayton, Suva, Lexington, Samoa, Ayers Rock, Fiji
Projected result: 14-2 (maybe as low as 12-4)


Christmas Islanders (6-2)
Definite Losses:
Probable Loss: Honolulu
Even: Port Moresby (I'm giving the slight edge to Port Moresby)
Probable Win: AAC
Definite Wins: Lexington, Samoa, Ayers Rock, Fiji, Alaska
Projected result: 12-4 (as high as 14-2 and as low as 11-5)


Fiji Rage (6-2)
Definite Losses: Honolulu, DECATUR, Christmas, Komodo
Probable Loss:
Even: Devonport (I'm giving the edge to Devonport)
Probable Win: Alaska, Dunedin
Definite Wins: Rochester
Projected result: 9-7 (as high as 10-6 or as low as 7-9)


Port Moresby Scallywags (5-3)
Definite Losses:
Probable Loss:
Even: Komodo (picking Komodo), Christmas (picking Port Moresby)
Probable Win: Devonport
Definite Wins: Rochester, Dunedin, Suva, Lexington, Samoa
Projected result: 12-4 (as high as 13-3 or as low as 10-6)


Devonport Devils (4-4)
Definite Losses:
Probable Loss: Port Moresby
Even: Fiji (picking Devonport), AAC (picking Devonport)
Probable Win: Alaska, Samoa
Definite Wins: Suva, Lexington, Ayers Rock
Projected result: 11-5 (as high as 12-4 or as low as 7-9)


An Album Cover (4-4)
Definite Losses: DECATUR
Probable Loss: Christmas, Komodo
Even: Devonport (picking Devonport)
Probable Win:
Definite Wins: Rochester, Dunedin, Suva, Lexington
Projected result: 8-8 (as high as 11-5 or as low as 8-8)


Alaska Wild (4-4)
Definite Losses: Honolulu, DECATUR, Christmas
Probable Loss: Fiji, Devonport
Even: None
Probable Win: Dunedin
Definite Wins: Dayton, Rochester
Projected result: 7-9 (as high as 9-7 or as low as 6-10)


Samoa Savages (4-4)
Definite Losses: Komodo, Christmas, Port Moresby
Probable Loss: Devonport
Even: Dunedin (picking Samoa)
Probable Win:
Definite Wins: Suva, Lexington, Dayton
Projected result: 8-8 (as high as 9-7 or as low as 7-9)


Dunedin Drones (4-4)
Definite Losses: Port Moresby
Probable Loss: AAC, Fiji, Alaska
Even: Samoa (picking Samoa)
Probable Win: Ayers Rock
Definite Wins: none
Projected result: 5-11 (as high as 9-7 or as low as 4-12)


Ayers Rock Krakens (3-5)
Definite Losses: Honolulu, DECATUR, Christmas, Devonport, Komodo
Probable Loss: Dunedin
Even:
Probable Win: Rochester
Definite Wins: Suva
Projected result: 5-11 (as high as 6-10 or as low as 4-12)


Rochester Iroquois (2-6)
Definite Losses: Port Moresby, AAC, Fiji, Alaska, Honolulu, DECATUR
Probable Loss: Ayers Rock
Even: none
Probable Win: Dayton
Definite Wins: none
Projected result: 3-13 (as high as 4-12 or as low as 2-14)


Dayton Gumslingers (1-7) - new nickname
Definite Losses: Komodo, Alaska, Honolulu, DECATUR, Samoa
Probable Loss: Rochester
Even: none
Probable Win: none
Definite Wins: Suva, Lexington
Projected result: 3-13 (as high as 4-12)


Lexington Cruise Lines (0-8)
Definite Losses: Christmas, Devonport, Komodo, Dayton, Samoa, Port Moresby, AAC
Probable Loss: none
Even: none
Probable Win: none
Definite Wins: Suva
Projected result: 1-15


Suva Sparklets (0-8)
Definite Losses: Everyone
Probable Loss: one
Even: none
Probable Win: none
Definite Wins: none
Projected result: 0-16



So I project the final regular season rankings will be:

1: DECATUR (15-1)
2: Honolulu (14-2)
3: Komodo (14-2) (if DECATUR loses to Honolulu, then Komodo will win the tie breaker for 2 and DECATUR would be 3)
4: Port Moresby (12-4) (wins tie breaker vs Christmas)
5: Christmas (12-4)
6: Devonport (11-5)
7: Fiji (9-7)
8: Samoa (8-8) (wins tie breaker with AAC)

9: An Album Cover (8-8)
10: Alaska (7-9)
11: Dunedin (5-11) (wins tie breaker with Ayers Rock)
12: Ayers Rock (5-11)
13: Rochester (3-13) (wins tie breaker with Dayton)
14: Dayton (3-13)
15: Lexington (1-15)
16: Suva (0-16) - the only perfect team!
Last edited Mar 13, 2009 09:21:30
 
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First post! lol, thanks swift, and I miss your daily posts bro. I hope all is well! Take care and thanks from all of us in Decatur!
 
SandShock
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Great job swift, i look to Dunedin to pick up a first legitimate win tonight!
 
tttbrian
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Great write up!
 
mgoblue71
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Great write up! If we have to be in the bottom half, Honolulu is probably the team we'd want to play most!
 
kentrol72
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Originally posted by mgoblue71
Great write up! If we have to be in the bottom half, Honolulu is probably the team we'd want to play most!


You sure about that
 
mgoblue71
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Originally posted by kentrol72
Originally posted by mgoblue71

Great write up! If we have to be in the bottom half, Honolulu is probably the team we'd want to play most!


You sure about that


100% The game you lost was to a team who ran the ball 50 times. We're sure about it.
 
cnlfailure
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Sound assessment there Swift, loving your work.
 
SandShock
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Gah 30-31 loss for dunedin thats us out of any playoff long shot
 
mgoblue71
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Wow, big loss for us too.

We definitely over scouted.
 
kentrol72
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Originally posted by mgoblue71
Originally posted by kentrol72

Originally posted by mgoblue71


Great write up! If we have to be in the bottom half, Honolulu is probably the team we'd want to play most!


You sure about that


100% The game you lost was to a team who ran the ball 50 times. We're sure about it.


If you think that was the key that beat us...you might wanna study that game again.
 
Steelrain72
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Originally posted by SandShock
Gah 30-31 loss for dunedin thats us out of any playoff long shot


Great running game. Not sure why you even passed once! We couldn't stop a toddler is a walker that game!

G/L rest of the season!
 
mgoblue71
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Originally posted by kentrol72
Originally posted by mgoblue71

Originally posted by kentrol72


Originally posted by mgoblue71



Great write up! If we have to be in the bottom half, Honolulu is probably the team we'd want to play most!


You sure about that


100% The game you lost was to a team who ran the ball 50 times. We're sure about it.


If you think that was the key that beat us...you might wanna study that game again.


We'll find out this week next week, huh?
 
tttbrian
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Wow we have some work to do!!!!!!! Rochester should have won that game.
 
SandShock
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Please don't do any work yet =P
 
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