User Pass
Home Sign Up Contact Log In
Forum > Africa AAA League > Africa AAA #1 > Week 5: Predictions and power rankings
Page:
 
jsully75
offline
Link
 
Elephant Conference
African Arms Dealers vs Dakar Dragons (18-68) Spread: 50
Boston Dogs vs Ghana Woopyoass (63-33) Spread: 30
Cairo Crocodiles vs Sons of Anubis (0-371) Spread: 371
Casablanca Sultans vs Real Men of Genius (24-12) Spread: 12
Chicago Killer Frogs vs San Dimas Saints (261-0) Spread: 261
Dakar Dragons vs African Arms Dealers (68-18) Spread: 50
Durban Donkeys vs Kilimanjaro Sno-Caps (31-26) Spread: 5
Gambia Diamond Cutters vs High Plains Drifters (107-63) Spread: 44
Ghana Woopyoass vs Boston Dogs (33-63) Spread: 30
High Plains Drifters vs Gambia Diamond Cutters (63-107) Spread: 44
Kilimanjaro Sno-Caps vs Durban Donkeys (26-31) Spread: 5
Real Men of Genius vs Casablanca Sultans (12-24) Spread: 12
River Styx Jinx vs Tunis Asps (455-0) Spread: 455
San Dimas Saints vs Chicago Killer Frogs (0-261) Spread: 261
Sons of Anubis vs Cairo Crocodiles (371-0) Spread: 371
Tunis Asps vs River Styx Jinx (0-455) Spread: 455
 
jsully75
offline
Link
 
Lion Conference
Band of Brothers vs Charlie Don't Surf (145-4) Spread: 141
Barbary Coast Pirates vs Kenya Naturals (16-42) Spread: 26
Beltway Bandits vs Gabon Forest Dragons (12-47) Spread: 35
Cape Verde Headhunters CPU vs Kingdom of Congo Dirty Apes (2-176) Spread: 174
Charlie Don't Surf vs Band of Brothers (4-145) Spread: 141
Ethiopian Starvin' Marvins vs West Nile Virus (59-10) Spread: 49
Fort Wayne Generals vs Red Sea Wave (20-32) Spread: 12
Freetown Palookas vs Katanga Diamonds (42-83) Spread: 41
Gabon Forest Dragons vs Beltway Bandits (47-12) Spread: 35
Katanga Diamonds vs Freetown Palookas (83-42) Spread: 41
Kenya Naturals vs Barbary Coast Pirates (42-16) Spread: 26
Kingdom of Congo Dirty Apes vs Cape Verde Headhunters CPU (176-2) Spread: 174
Port Harcourt Playmakers vs The Nile Denial (71-17) Spread: 54
Red Sea Wave vs Fort Wayne Generals (32-20) Spread: 12
The Nile Denial vs Port Harcourt Playmakers (17-71) Spread: 54
West Nile Virus vs Ethiopian Starvin' Marvins (10-59) Spread: 49
 
jsully75
offline
Link
 
Rk__Team_________________________W__L__T___%____PF____PA__
..1 . . Sons of Anubis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 1,799 . . ...262
..2 . . Durban Donkeys . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . ..94% . . 1,572 . . ...307
..3 . . Dakar Dragons. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . ..81% . . 1,915 . . ...320
..4 . . Chicago Killer Frogs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . 1,711 . . ...435
..5 . . River Styx Jinx . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . ..69% . . 1,911 . . ...511
..6 . . Kilimanjaro Sno-Caps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . ..69% . . 1,839 . . ...380
..7 . . Casablanca Sultans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . ...932 . . ...276
..8 . . Boston Dogs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . ..56% . . 1,486 . . ...529
..9 . . African Arms Dealers. . . . . . . . . . . . . ..8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . ..50% . . 1,080 . . ...595
..10 . . Ghana Woopyoass . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . 1,131 . . ...948
..11 . . Gambia Diamond Cutters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . ...973 . . ...593
..12 . . Real Men of Genius . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..5 . . 11 . . 0 . . ..31% . . ...869 . . ...521
..13 . . High Plains Drifters. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..4 . . 12 . . 0 . . ..25% . . 1,671 . . 2,601
..14 . . San Dimas Saints . . . . . . . . . . ..2 . . 14 . . 0 . . ..13% . . .....30 . . 2,859
..15 . . Cairo Crocodiles. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . .......0 . . 3,882
..16 . . Tunis Asps. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . .......0 . . 4,163
 
jsully75
offline
Link
 
Rk__Team_________________________W__L__T___%____PF____PA__
..1 . . Ethiopian Starvin' Marvins . . . 16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 1,690 . . ...127
..2 . . Port Harcourt Playmakers . . . . . . 15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . ..94% . . ...953 . . ...267
..3 . . Red Sea Wave. . . . . . . . . 13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . ..81% . . 1,062 . . ...343
..4 . . Katanga Diamonds . . . . . . . . . . . 13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . ..81% . . 1,474 . . ...524
..5 . . Band of Brothers . . . . . . 11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . ..69% . . 1,324 . . ...391
..6 . . Gabon Forest Dragons . . . . . . . 11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . ..69% . . ...984 . . ...389
..7 . . West Nile Virus . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . ..56% . . ...984 . . ...525
..8 . . Freetown Palookas. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . ..50% . . ...939 . . ...593
..9 . . Fort Wayne Generals. ..8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . ..50% . . ...684 . . ...398
..10 . . The Nile Denial . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . ...925 . . 1,077
..11 . . Kenya Naturals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..5 . . 11 . . 0 . . ..31% . . ...724 . . ...528
..12 . . Kingdom of Congo Dirty Apes. . . . . . . . . ..4 . . 12 . . 0 . . ..25% . . ...544 . . ...812
..13 . . Beltway Bandits . . . . . . ..4 . . 12 . . 0 . . ..25% . . ...416 . . ...618
..14 . . Barbary Coast Pirates. . . . . . . . . ..3 . . 13 . . 0 . . ..19% . . ...387 . . ...737
..15 . . Charlie Don't Surf. . . . . . . . . . . ..1 . . 15 . . 0 . . ....6% . . ...103 . . 1,704
..16 . . Cape Verde Headhunters CPU . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . .....18 . . 3,916
 
danpenc918
offline
Link
 
I have to say -- I do not understand the way the spreadsheet makes the picks.

Two weeks ago, we lost and it projected the Frogs ending the season at 14-2.

Then we won and it projected us at 10-6

Then we lose and it projects 12-4.


At what point does losing not improve our projections?
 
kp2575
offline
Link
 
If I beat Cairo I am going to be pissed.
 
Uppnorth10
offline
Link
 
Thanks for getting these up so quick sully!!
 
jsully75
offline
Link
 
The problem is the guts. We have 2+ in elephant so that conf is more volatile. It will begin to count the guts more evenly.
 
jloescher3
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by danpenc918
I have to say -- I do not understand the way the spreadsheet makes the picks.

Two weeks ago, we lost and it projected the Frogs ending the season at 14-2.

Then we won and it projected us at 10-6

Then we lose and it projects 12-4.


At what point does losing not improve our projections?


i do the same spreadsheet for another conference.

thing is if you d0nt beat teams by as much as it predicted you to you go down even though you get the win

and if you lose better than you were projected, you go up.

now both of those make sense, but the thing is that the projections are so volatile that scores can even be in the 4-digit range early in the season.

so lesson to learn, dont actually pay attention to this spreadsheet until week 6 or 7, otherwise its just to extreme and is just trend-finding until then.
 
UK Back
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by jsully75
Lion Conference
Ethiopian Starvin' Marvins vs West Nile Virus (59-10) Spread: 49



Anything more than 10 points and I'll be happy
 
Underdawg08
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by jsully75
Elephant Conference
African Arms Dealers vs Dakar Dragons (18-68) Spread: 50
Boston Dogs vs Ghana Woopyoass (63-33) Spread: 30
Cairo Crocodiles vs Sons of Anubis (0-371) Spread: 371
Casablanca Sultans vs Real Men of Genius (24-12) Spread: 12
Chicago Killer Frogs vs San Dimas Saints (261-0) Spread: 261
Dakar Dragons vs African Arms Dealers (68-18) Spread: 50
Durban Donkeys vs Kilimanjaro Sno-Caps (31-26) Spread: 5
Gambia Diamond Cutters vs High Plains Drifters (107-63) Spread: 44
Ghana Woopyoass vs Boston Dogs (33-63) Spread: 30
High Plains Drifters vs Gambia Diamond Cutters (63-107) Spread: 44
Kilimanjaro Sno-Caps vs Durban Donkeys (26-31) Spread: 5
Real Men of Genius vs Casablanca Sultans (12-24) Spread: 12
River Styx Jinx vs Tunis Asps (455-0) Spread: 455
San Dimas Saints vs Chicago Killer Frogs (0-261) Spread: 261
Sons of Anubis vs Cairo Crocodiles (371-0) Spread: 371
Tunis Asps vs River Styx Jinx (0-455) Spread: 455


LOL LOL? 30 points? you really think BOSTON DOGS is going to beat GHANNA BY 30? hahahahahahahahaha
hahahahhaha'ahhahahahahahahahahahahahaahahahahahahhaha'ahhahahahahahahahahahahahaahaha
hahahahhaha'ahhahahahahahahahahahahahaahahahahahahhaha'ahhahahahahahahahahahahahaahaha
hahahahhaha'ahhahahahahahahahahahahahaahahahahahahhaha'ahhahahahahahahahahahahahaahaha
hahahahhaha'ahhahahahahahahahahahahahaahahahahahahhaha'ahhahahahahahahahahahahahaahaha

even when ghanna beats you, you're still gonna think you're the shit. BOOF!!
 
puppy
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by UnderDogs
Originally posted by jsully75

Elephant Conference
African Arms Dealers vs Dakar Dragons (18-68) Spread: 50
Boston Dogs vs Ghana Woopyoass (63-33) Spread: 30
Cairo Crocodiles vs Sons of Anubis (0-371) Spread: 371
Casablanca Sultans vs Real Men of Genius (24-12) Spread: 12
Chicago Killer Frogs vs San Dimas Saints (261-0) Spread: 261
Dakar Dragons vs African Arms Dealers (68-18) Spread: 50
Durban Donkeys vs Kilimanjaro Sno-Caps (31-26) Spread: 5
Gambia Diamond Cutters vs High Plains Drifters (107-63) Spread: 44
Ghana Woopyoass vs Boston Dogs (33-63) Spread: 30
High Plains Drifters vs Gambia Diamond Cutters (63-107) Spread: 44
Kilimanjaro Sno-Caps vs Durban Donkeys (26-31) Spread: 5
Real Men of Genius vs Casablanca Sultans (12-24) Spread: 12
River Styx Jinx vs Tunis Asps (455-0) Spread: 455
San Dimas Saints vs Chicago Killer Frogs (0-261) Spread: 261
Sons of Anubis vs Cairo Crocodiles (371-0) Spread: 371
Tunis Asps vs River Styx Jinx (0-455) Spread: 455


LOL LOL? 30 points? you really think BOSTON DOGS is going to beat GHANNA BY 30? hahahahahahahahaha
hahahahhaha'ahhahahahahahahahahahahahaahahahahahahhaha'ahhahahahahahahahahahahahaahaha
hahahahhaha'ahhahahahahahahahahahahahaahahahahahahhaha'ahhahahahahahahahahahahahaahaha
hahahahhaha'ahhahahahahahahahahahahahaahahahahahahhaha'ahhahahahahahahahahahahahaahaha
hahahahhaha'ahhahahahahahahahahahahahaahahahahahahhaha'ahhahahahahahahahahahahahaahaha

even when ghanna beats you, you're still gonna think you're the shit. BOOF!!


Why do you gotta be such a douchebag? Its a dot football game, relax.
 
csull36
offline
Link
 
Why is underdogs obsessed with the Boston Dogs? I can't remember ever playing him in a game or having any meaningful interaction with him, yet he's posted about the Dogs in 10 different threads as if that's the only thing on his mind... Was he bitten by a mean dog when he was a kid or something?
 
Coach823
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by csull36
Why is underdogs obsessed with the Boston Dogs? I can't remember ever playing him in a game or having any meaningful interaction with him, yet he's posted about the Dogs in 10 different threads as if that's the only thing on his mind... Was he bitten by a mean dog when he was a kid or something?



UD likes to put bulletin board material out there...so we let him do his thing and his SS does a damn good job of backing it up

I mean, let's face it, this game needs a little trash talk. Otherwise we'd all be sittin around every 48 hours just waitin for a bunch of blue and yellow dots to run into each other
 
danpenc918
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by jloescher3
Originally posted by danpenc918

I have to say -- I do not understand the way the spreadsheet makes the picks.

Two weeks ago, we lost and it projected the Frogs ending the season at 14-2.

Then we won and it projected us at 10-6

Then we lose and it projects 12-4.


At what point does losing not improve our projections?


i do the same spreadsheet for another conference.

thing is if you d0nt beat teams by as much as it predicted you to you go down even though you get the win

and if you lose better than you were projected, you go up.

now both of those make sense, but the thing is that the projections are so volatile that scores can even be in the 4-digit range early in the season.

so lesson to learn, dont actually pay attention to this spreadsheet until week 6 or 7, otherwise its just to extreme and is just trend-finding until then.


So you are saying that we lose well??

In the history of the Frogs, we rarely win when picked to win and usually pull upsets when picked to lose.
 
Page:
 


You are not logged in. Please log in if you want to post a reply.