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griffin8r
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Alright, I know, I slacked, I missed like half the season. I'll do better in AA when the Niners (and a number of other teams in this league) get promoted, I promise.

Anyway, I carved this down to the top 16 for one simple reason: There's two games between #16 and #17 with three to go, and the closest three from the bottom don't have a snowball's chance in hell of making the cut. Yes, that's right, I'm calling it, what you're about to see is exactly who will be in the playoffs.

That said, the computer has predicted that the Players will lose their final three games and wind up the #8 seed in their conference. Sorry, guys, you're heading into the worst part of your schedule, and you haven't beaten anyone important to this point.

Lot has happened since our last installment of the rankings, so I'll just give you the numbers. Recaps can be found on our good buddy Khameleon's thread.

There will be weeping and gnashing of teeth over the rankings, but I'm telling you right up front, there are significant gaps in strength of schedule between these teams, significant enough to put a 9-4 team ahead of all the 10-3's, and significant enough to put a 11-2 team ahead of all but one 12-1.

So, without further adieu, I give you this week's top 16.

1) Butchers (596.0)
2) Off-Topics (539.7)
3) Gods of War (507.4)
4) Niners (430.5)
5) Raptors (364.7)
6) Chiefs (347.5)
7) Ironmen (306.2)
8) Doomsday (293.4)
9) Nightmare (227.2)
10) Yellowhammers (227.0)
11) Wolfpack (225.7)
12) Crusaders (151.5)
13) Guardians (150.8)
14) Pecs (142.7)
15) Players (63.4)
16) Syndicate (44.2)

Now, for those already wondering:

Doomsday's SoV is an incredibly stout 5.2 (raw score 47) which puts it miles ahead of the Nightmare (4.1/41), Yellowhammers (4.0/40), and Wolfpack (4.0/40) - the teams they beat were just straight up better overall, despite the one extra loss.

By the same token, Portland's SoV was a very strong 5.6, which put it well ahead of the Chiefs (4.6). Ironically, Portland suffered most of the season from a weak SoV, until they beat up on the Blaze, Players, and Ironmen since the last time we did these rankings.

And to the Raptors fans crying foul, all I can say is, run the table and you'll be fine - the worst part of your schedule is still in front of you - three playoff teams in a row.

BTW - the Butchers and OffTopics pretty much have sealed those top spots because, frankly, they beat everyone. Butchers get a monster boost because their non-con game was against the Niners in week 1, and the OT's likewise benefit from a win over the Raptors in week 2. Unless both teams have a sudden meltdown, they will be sitting at #1 and #2 at the end of the season.
Last edited Jan 27, 2009 19:50:12
 
Steel ~Cult~ure
Y Not....
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Have no issues with ranking ... very tough teams at the top.

Thanks for the rankings and write up!
 
snatch311
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Originally posted by Steel_Destroyer
Have no issues with ranking ... very tough teams at the top.

Thanks for the rankings and write up!


Agreed
 
aricpelt
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Originally posted by griffin8r
...
There will be weeping and gnashing of teeth over the rankings...
By the same token, Portland's SoV was a very strong 5.6, which put it well ahead of the Gods (5.1) and Chiefs (4.6). Ironically, Portland suffered most of the season from a weak SoV, until they beat up on the Blaze, Players, and Ironmen since the last time we did these rankings. ...


I'm not arguing that Portland doesn't belong in front of us... But I've gotta call Shenanigans on the gap...

You guys still have the #9 and #10 teams left to play... We've already played our hardest part of the schedule which included these teams...

I appreciate you taking the time to do this and realize that it is indeed all in good fun, nothing personal, just disagree with the end result.
 
griffin8r
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Originally posted by aricpelt
Originally posted by griffin8r

...
There will be weeping and gnashing of teeth over the rankings...
By the same token, Portland's SoV was a very strong 5.6, which put it well ahead of the Gods (5.1) and Chiefs (4.6). Ironically, Portland suffered most of the season from a weak SoV, until they beat up on the Blaze, Players, and Ironmen since the last time we did these rankings. ...


I'm not arguing that Portland doesn't belong in front of us... But I've gotta call Shenanigans on the gap...

You guys still have the #9 and #10 teams left to play... We've already played our hardest part of the schedule which included these teams...

I appreciate you taking the time to do this and realize that it is indeed all in good fun, nothing personal, just disagree with the end result.


Don't forget, Portland beat a 12-1 team at the same time you were losing to an 11-2 team.

This was a double-whammy for you - Portland picked up +12 SoV at the same time you were taking a -2 SoL hit.

Portland and Warsaw have identical raw SoL's (2) but yours is a double hit because you lost to one 2-loss team, where Portland lost to a 2-loss team and a zero-loss team, making their agregate SoL 1.0 instead of 2.0.

(edit)

One more thing - the win total of the remaining teams on both our scheds is 20 - you're facing a 9 win, 8 win, and 3 win team, where the Niners are facing two 10-wins and a 0-win. In both cases, the other team has already played the three you face.
Last edited Jan 27, 2009 19:29:11
 
aricpelt
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Your wins have come against teams with a combined 62 wins, Our victories have a combined 71 wins... Maybe I don't understand the formula... just seems to me there shouldn't be that much of a gap!

I'm not trying to start an argument or anything, like I said, I appreciate you taking the time to do this, it's really entertaining and helps to keep the forums active...
Last edited Jan 27, 2009 19:46:05
 
griffin8r
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Originally posted by aricpelt
Your wins have come against teams with a combined 62 wins, Our victories have a combined 71 wins... Maybe I don't understand the formula... just seems to me there shouldn't be that much of a gap!

I'm not trying to start an argument or anything, like I said, I appreciate you taking the time to do this, it's really entertaining and helps to keep the forums active...


Oh crap.

I miscounted yours. I had you with 61, not 71. Totally my bad. Will fix post haste.

 
aricpelt
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Originally posted by griffin8r

Oh crap.

I miscounted yours. I had you with 61, not 71. Totally my bad. Will fix post haste.



No Worries....
 
HoyaHater
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Forgot to allow for the GIGO Factor, tbh
 
JT_HOOD
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Thanks griff, good stuff
 


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