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Forum > Africa AA League > Africa AA #1 > Power Rankings and Projections
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froman77
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Here we go. I know it is a bit late in the season for this, but better late than never. These are the same power rankings as I have done in season's past, except now I have added a league projector tool which goes all the way throughout the playoffs as well. Basically, based on the power rankings, I simulate the remainder of the season 100,000 times, and then figure out everyone's odds of doing certain things (making playoffs, winning the league etc.). Enjoy!


Week 16

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pgAYz24KFgQQkCRp19-ZEYg

Lion Conference
1. Red Sea Wave 208865 (1)
2. Freetown Palookas 142792 (4)
3. The Sierra Leone Syndicate 136814 (2)
4. Band Of Brothers 129528 (3)
5. Warriors of Anubis 83015 (5)
6. Côte d'Ivoire Rebels 58445 (6)
7. Morocco Loco Lions 38928 (7)
8. Carthaginian War Elephants 16508 (9)
9. Zulu Death Warriors 15526 (8)
10. Congo Lions -4037 (10)
11. Burundi Hutu -18768 (12)
12. Madagascar Black Mambas -19749 (11)
13. African Fire -71961 (13)
14. Atlantic Blue Jays -93887 (14)
15. Kilimanjaro Kamikaze -177903 (15)
16. Congo NLG -189750 (16)

Elephant Conference
1. Sons Of Anubis 240452 (1)
2. Dakar Dragons 209588 (2)
3. Cairo Crocodiles 155955 (3)
4. Mamelodi Night Runners 100215 (4)
5. Swaziland Semnikati 55453 (5)
6. Mogadishu Outlaws 47086 (6)
7. Lome Loas 33590 (8)
8. Tanzanian Thunderhawks 32634 (7)
9. Rhodesia Ratels 20964 (9)
10. Congo Silverbacks -24698 (10)
11. Maasai Death Tribe -36504 (11)
12. AfricanAz Dark Knights -51498 (13)
13. Cape Town Shinobis -51621 (12)
14. Senegal Slayers -55123 (14)
15. Serengeti Wildebeest -67679 (15)
16. Casablanca White Houses -119699 (0)

Week 15: http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pgAYz24KFgQQjYrjCMH5IEw
Week 14: http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pgAYz24KFgQTK0zlJS2E6GA
Week 13: http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pgAYz24KFgQSMGrwnx7D9dA

Last edited Feb 1, 2009 22:14:00
 
odt
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hey, red sea wave doesn't deserve to be number 1, I call bullshit
 
froman77
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Originally posted by odt
hey, red sea wave doesn't deserve to be number 1, I call bullshit


I'm not a smart guy, but I think you're being sarcastic!
 
Vikes4Life
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Thank you Froman for putting up an unbiased and accurate rankings and projections.
 
odt
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I like the spreadsheet, thats pretty sweet
 
froman77
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Yeah I was inspired by Hollinger's playoff odds on ESPN.com. I'm kind of proud of it.
 
Arliss
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That is a great spreadsheet. Nice job...
 
Astralis
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Hey Rhodesia has a chance to take the league! Woohoo.
 
froman77
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Updated for week 14.

I think this is a great example of why these sort of things need some human insight coupled along with them to make them truly meaningful. Despite SoA massive victory over the Crocs, it still has them losing one of their last two games more than 50% of the time. Obviously these rankings underestimate them.
Last edited Jan 28, 2009 19:15:29
 
Sao
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It also has Red Sea losing to BoB in wk 16. GOW candidate for sure.
 
Pensfan
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we just suck here at the end of the season.

haha
 
froman77
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Originally posted by Pensfan
we just suck here at the end of the season.

haha


i was cheering for Anubis. I'd rather face Anubis in the second round than Red Sea.
 
Pensfan
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haha... I bet. RSW is pretty hot right now.


I am having family commitments that are keeping me away from GLB for the foreseeable future. I haven't even posted in our own team forums, much less looked at Def AI, depth charts, new defensive play designer, etc.

 
froman77
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Originally posted by Pensfan
haha... I bet. RSW is pretty hot right now.


I am having family commitments that are keeping me away from GLB for the foreseeable future. I haven't even posted in our own team forums, much less looked at Def AI, depth charts, new defensive play designer, etc.



That stinks. Anubis has a good team this season too.
 
Vikes4Life
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When I rallied my teammates to utterly, completely, and totally annihilate Anubis, I never knew it could become anything like this. It's pretty sweet.
 
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