Uh oh.
Zeta projections
Monty Pythons 15 1
Sevastopol Wolverines 14 2
The D-League Home For Underprivileged Children 14 2
The Cape Town Cubicles 14 2
Constantinople Romans 13 3
Rome Raiders 11 5
C-Town Hoodlums 9 7
Transylvania Terror 8 8
The Wheatfield 8 8
Terlingua Javelinas 6 10
Draguignan Dragons 83 6 10
Subotica Scorpions 4 12
Grodno Titans 4 12
Columbus Crush 2 14
Chernobyl Radionuclides 1 15
Elancourt Templiers 0 16
The Cubes fall off the throne they've occupied all season as their tailspin continues courtesy of the Wolverines. C-T can't cover the spread and makes me a loser (3-4 for the season), but solidifies their playoff scenario with a win that saw them score 17 unanswered points, 3 with 14 seconds left in regulation (wow, looks like they fixed their FG kicking AI just in time), and winning it in OT.
10-2 teams all the way from 2nd to 6th, but the projections make sense. The Raiders have the toughest path to the playoffs, with matchups against the Romans, Wolverines, and Cubes. Between the Wolverines, D-L, and the Cubes, all of them are projected to win out, but each has at least 1 game projected to be within 1 score so it could go in any direction.
Zeta RPI
Monty Pythons .645
The D-League Home For Underprivileged Children .596
Sevastopol Wolverines .593
Constantinople Romans .586
The Cape Town Cubicles .574
Rome Raiders .545
C-Town Hoodlums .532
Transylvania Terror .500
The Wheatfield .493
Terlingua Javelinas .489
Draguignan Dragons 83 .464
Subotica Scorpions .441
Chernobyl Radionuclides .426
Grodno Titans .416
Elancourt Templiers .404
Columbus Crush .376
From a big picture perspective though, nothing much changes. The Pythons are still in a league of their own, and the 2 other races -- one for home field playoff games, another for the bottom playoff spots -- don't affect them at all. They have no real competition during their cruise into the post season. The closest projected game this week, and the only one of consequence, is D-L v. C-T (+11). After failing me, I've shunned C-T and put my money on D-L.
Alpha projections
NISSA Dauphins 15 1
Chernobyl Meltdowns 15 1
Kharkiv Thrashers 13 3
Woburn Tanners 12 4
Lisbon Crows 12 4
Black Sea Pirates 10 6
Transylvania Impalers 10 6
Saratov Catrades 9 7
Tallaght Outlaws 8 8
BERLIN RAIDERS 7 9
Tskhinvali Rebellion 5 11
Sacramento Storm 4 12
Fehérvár Enthroners 3 13
Bohemian Grove Molechs 2 14
Jax Beach B.O.H.I.C.A 2 14
International Players 0 16
Alpha RPI
NISSA Dauphins .625
Chernobyl Meltdowns .622
Kharkiv Thrashers .604
Black Sea Pirates .571
Lisbon Crows .539
Woburn Tanners .533
Transylvania Impalers .504
Tallaght Outlaws .502
BERLIN RAIDERS .497
Saratov Catrades .475
Tskhinvali Rebellion .475
Jax Beach B.O.H.I.C.A .447
Sacramento Storm .413
Fehérvár Enthroners .393
Bohemian Grove Molechs .366
International Players .356
Pirates bounce back and win after a nonstop 4th quarter that ends with this season's trendy finish -- a refusal to trust the kicker. The loss might have sealed the Outlaws' fate. Similarly, the Impalers win helps secure their chances, and Saratov's loss puts them at the end of the rope. Chernobyl almost covers all 22 points against a Thrasher team that is confirming their 2nd tier status.
I looked at the Zeta results first and noticed Elancourt score on another team and thought how it should help the whole Lisbon conspiracy mess, and then saw it become moot as Libson's 2nd half run ends rather suddenly. Incidentally, it also solidifies the Thrashers lower status since their win over Lisbon had been the only "quality" win they could point to; now it's just another win over a fellow 2nd tier team.
NISSA and Chernobyl have identical projections, nearly identical RPI's, and the 2 teams are basically separated by a single quarter in their head-to-head match. Everyone else is just looking in from the outside. Lot of stat padding this week, where the closest projected match is Raiders v. Impalers (-23).
Vegas would put the odds on a Pythons v. NISSA/Chernobyl final, and rightly so.
Zeta projections
Monty Pythons 15 1
Sevastopol Wolverines 14 2
The D-League Home For Underprivileged Children 14 2
The Cape Town Cubicles 14 2
Constantinople Romans 13 3
Rome Raiders 11 5
C-Town Hoodlums 9 7
Transylvania Terror 8 8
The Wheatfield 8 8
Terlingua Javelinas 6 10
Draguignan Dragons 83 6 10
Subotica Scorpions 4 12
Grodno Titans 4 12
Columbus Crush 2 14
Chernobyl Radionuclides 1 15
Elancourt Templiers 0 16
The Cubes fall off the throne they've occupied all season as their tailspin continues courtesy of the Wolverines. C-T can't cover the spread and makes me a loser (3-4 for the season), but solidifies their playoff scenario with a win that saw them score 17 unanswered points, 3 with 14 seconds left in regulation (wow, looks like they fixed their FG kicking AI just in time), and winning it in OT.
10-2 teams all the way from 2nd to 6th, but the projections make sense. The Raiders have the toughest path to the playoffs, with matchups against the Romans, Wolverines, and Cubes. Between the Wolverines, D-L, and the Cubes, all of them are projected to win out, but each has at least 1 game projected to be within 1 score so it could go in any direction.
Zeta RPI
Monty Pythons .645
The D-League Home For Underprivileged Children .596
Sevastopol Wolverines .593
Constantinople Romans .586
The Cape Town Cubicles .574
Rome Raiders .545
C-Town Hoodlums .532
Transylvania Terror .500
The Wheatfield .493
Terlingua Javelinas .489
Draguignan Dragons 83 .464
Subotica Scorpions .441
Chernobyl Radionuclides .426
Grodno Titans .416
Elancourt Templiers .404
Columbus Crush .376
From a big picture perspective though, nothing much changes. The Pythons are still in a league of their own, and the 2 other races -- one for home field playoff games, another for the bottom playoff spots -- don't affect them at all. They have no real competition during their cruise into the post season. The closest projected game this week, and the only one of consequence, is D-L v. C-T (+11). After failing me, I've shunned C-T and put my money on D-L.
Alpha projections
NISSA Dauphins 15 1
Chernobyl Meltdowns 15 1
Kharkiv Thrashers 13 3
Woburn Tanners 12 4
Lisbon Crows 12 4
Black Sea Pirates 10 6
Transylvania Impalers 10 6
Saratov Catrades 9 7
Tallaght Outlaws 8 8
BERLIN RAIDERS 7 9
Tskhinvali Rebellion 5 11
Sacramento Storm 4 12
Fehérvár Enthroners 3 13
Bohemian Grove Molechs 2 14
Jax Beach B.O.H.I.C.A 2 14
International Players 0 16
Alpha RPI
NISSA Dauphins .625
Chernobyl Meltdowns .622
Kharkiv Thrashers .604
Black Sea Pirates .571
Lisbon Crows .539
Woburn Tanners .533
Transylvania Impalers .504
Tallaght Outlaws .502
BERLIN RAIDERS .497
Saratov Catrades .475
Tskhinvali Rebellion .475
Jax Beach B.O.H.I.C.A .447
Sacramento Storm .413
Fehérvár Enthroners .393
Bohemian Grove Molechs .366
International Players .356
Pirates bounce back and win after a nonstop 4th quarter that ends with this season's trendy finish -- a refusal to trust the kicker. The loss might have sealed the Outlaws' fate. Similarly, the Impalers win helps secure their chances, and Saratov's loss puts them at the end of the rope. Chernobyl almost covers all 22 points against a Thrasher team that is confirming their 2nd tier status.
I looked at the Zeta results first and noticed Elancourt score on another team and thought how it should help the whole Lisbon conspiracy mess, and then saw it become moot as Libson's 2nd half run ends rather suddenly. Incidentally, it also solidifies the Thrashers lower status since their win over Lisbon had been the only "quality" win they could point to; now it's just another win over a fellow 2nd tier team.
NISSA and Chernobyl have identical projections, nearly identical RPI's, and the 2 teams are basically separated by a single quarter in their head-to-head match. Everyone else is just looking in from the outside. Lot of stat padding this week, where the closest projected match is Raiders v. Impalers (-23).
Vegas would put the odds on a Pythons v. NISSA/Chernobyl final, and rightly so.
