Rangers v. Shipwreckers:
On paper it's all Medan, but I think the Shipwreckers might take this game a little too lightly. In their last 4 games, Rangers have scored 45 against 69 Mafia, 6 against Ujung, 37 against MoZ and 37 against Taiping. The smart coach knows the difference between those 4 squads is interior LB play -- or in the case of MoZ who runs a 4-3, interiot DLine play. Baclod is the #1 Passing offense in the league and should have some success against Medan's #2 passing defense. Conversely, Medan's 10th ranked pass attack may struggle against Baclods #4 Pass Defense. When running the ball however, Medan brings the wood, and their 5 yard per carry average looks to be a VERY daunting task for a Rangers defense giving up a whopping 185yards on the ground PER GAME.
Prediction -- Medan knows they win this with their basic gameplan, dials down the passing percentages against a weak rush defense so as to win time of posession. Baclod works their asses of and surprises Medan by only losing by 10.
Medan 35 Baclod 25
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Mafia v. MoZ
Having just done significant tape study 3 days ago of 69 Mafia's offense, I'm pretty sure their heavy preponderance of 3 and 5 WR sets will test the MoZs 4 active corner backs. And when I say test, I mean score at will.
MoZ has good ownership, are experienced based on their trophies, but are about to be haunted by their 19/11 TD to INT ratio. Their stronger than average offense will not be much good when they are on the bench while Mafia's #3 rushing attack runs up and down the field, controlling the ball and the game.
There is a ray of hope for the Moz. 69 ranks dead last in the league in passing yards, and has a comparably bad 13/5 TD/INT ratio. Is that because they don't need the passing offense?? For sure the MoZ defensive coordinator is aware of this stat. It will be informative to see if he can make the Mafia pass, and if that makes a difference. From personal experience, I say watch out! Medan shocked us for 2 TDs in the 4th quarter:
http://goallineblitz.com/game/game.pl?game_id=313244Question: how is Bruce Hoffman averaging a stunning 6.5 yards per carry, but only getting the ball 13 times a game?
Prediction 69 Mafia kicks off a disappointing end of the season slump for MoZ who finish just outside on the playoff race. Mafia runs and runs and then passes.
69 Mafia 41 MoZ 20