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Forum > Pacific Pro League > Oceania Conference > Beatpaths Power Rankings - Week 5
Mornacale
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(DISCLAIMER: I did not invent Beatpaths and I do not own the idea or any of the algorithms used here--I've simply did some reverse-engineering of the code. All credit goes to the good people at www.beatpaths.com.)

At least Cascade will like them...
Text file glory: http://www.mornacale.com/beatpaths/OProPR5.txt

Oceania Pro
Week 5
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Rank | Team Name | Record | BeatPower|Change
1t. Cook Island Convicts (5-0) 100.0 +0
1t. Brisbane Heat (5-0) 100.0 +0
1t. Mean Machine (5-0) 100.0 +0
1t. Orlando Prime Timers (5-0) 100.0 +0
1t. West Scranton Invaders (5-0) 100.0 +0
6. Tonga Ikale Tahi (4-1) 84.0 -5
7. Cascade Cajun Crushers (4-1) 62.0 +8
8. So Cal BDC (4-1) 85.0 -1
9. Vanuatu Kava Sharks (3-2) 73.0 -1
10t. Mata-Utu Voodoo (4-1) 71.0 -1
10t. Canberra Strike (4-1) 71.0 -1
12. Firmament Mystic Prophets (2-3) 62.0 +1
13. Papua New Guinea Cannibals (3-2) 33.0 -2
14. Playboy's Players Club (2-3) -16.0 -2
15. Banzai Pipeline 'Nites (4-1) 63.0 -1
16. Sth Queensland Crushers (3-2) 26.0 +1
17. Fakaofo Bomb Squad (2-3) -10.0 +5
18. Melbourne Dreadnoks (1-4) -25.0 +2
19. Tasmania Swarm (2-3) -33.0 -1
20. Melbourne Thorny Devils (2-3) -23.0 -4
21. Samoa Gangsters (2-3) -29.0 +2
22. Christchurch Knightmares (1-4) -81.0 +3
23. Barossa Grapestompers (1-4) -50.0 +4
24. Fiji Stingers (2-3) -69.0 -3
25. Fiji Sea Turtles (1-4) -80.0 -1
26. Port Moresby Demons (2-3) -60.0 -7
27t. Brantford Mustangs (0-5) -100.0 +0
27t. Jersey Wildcats (0-5) -100.0 +0
29. Brisbane Bandits (2-3) -86.0 -3
30t. Brisbane Gods (0-5) -100.0 -3
30t. Emerald City Flying Monkeys (0-5) -100.0 -3
30t. Aussie Cardinals (0-5) -100.0 -3

Introductory post (with information on Beatpaths): http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=1775585

Commentary
1) The TITs fall off the unbeaten bandwagon, Barossa gets a win, and the Brisbane Bandits do us a favor and break up the no-win teams for a moment. (Brisbane is so low because of their Beatloss to Port Moresby, which itself is very low due to a new Beatloss to the Grapestompers.)

2) Beatloop ahoy! This week formed a delicious TIT => PPC => CCC => FBS => TIT beatloop. This beatloop gets eliminated, and with it go the only beatlosses for TIT and CCC, which explains why they are above BDC. It also takes one of PPC's beatlosses away, which helps keep them unusually high. If Fakaofo can manage a win over the Playboy Players' Club, it will be very good for FBS and very bad for PPC (and not very good for TIT either).

3) Since we're keeping an eye on them, both FMP and SQC won this week, though they certainly didn't move big.


As always, please ask questions and point out anything that looks buggy!
 
Mornacale
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Okay, I'm going to go ahead this week and start recording the inaugural Beatpaths predictions for the upcoming games. Basically, it's very easy to go from the Power Rankings to game predictions: simply choose whoever is highest to win. In addition, BeatPower can be used as a method of ranking the confidence level of a particular game: the higher the difference between the two teams' BeatPower, the more likely the outcome is.

BeatPaths Predictions - Week 6
Home Team | Away Team | Confidence
Jersey Wildcats vs. Cook Island Convicts | 200.0 - CORRECT
Brisbane Bandits vs. Orlando Prime Timers | 186.0 - CORRECT
Tonga Ikale Tahi vs. Emerald City Flying Monkeys | 184.0 - CORRECT
Brantford Mustangs vs. Firmament Mystic Prophets | 162.0 - CORRECT
Cascade Cajun Crushers vs. Aussie Cardinals | 162.0 - CORRECT
So Cal BDC vs. Port Moresby Demons | 145.0 - CORRECT
West Scranton Invaders vs. Melbourne Dreadnoks | 125.0 - CORRECT
Barossa Grapestompers vs. Vanuatu Kava Sharks | 123.0 - CORRECT
Mean Machine vs. Fakaofo Bomb Squad | 110.0 - CORRECT
Brisbane Gods vs. Melbourne Thorny Devils | 77.0 - CORRECT
Sth Queensland Crushers vs. Brisbane Heat | 74.0 - CORRECT
Fiji Sea Turtles vs. Playboy's Players Club | 64.0 - CORRECT
Christchurch Knightmares vs. Samoa Gangsters | 52.0 - CORRECT
Papua New Guinea Cannibals vs. Canberra Strike | 38.0 - WRONG
Fiji Stingers vs. Tasmania Swarm | 36.0 - WRONG
Mata-Utu Voodoo vs. Banzai Pipeline 'Nites | 10.0 - WRONG

Game of the Week: Mata-Utu Voodoo vs Banzai Pipeline 'Nites

Note that the highest possible confidence is 200, so we have a lot of very high-confidence games going on (mostly a lot of the unbeaten teams playing low-ranked teams, and the no-win teams playing high-ranked teams).
Last edited Jan 13, 2009 23:55:28
 
dpell
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Keep up the good job Newbie.

Beatpaths >>> VCS
 
Mornacale
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Bumping for predictions post.
 
nautilus
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Nice work.
 
Mystico3
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Originally posted by Mornacale

Mata-Utu Voodoo vs. Banzai Pipeline 'Nites | 10.0

Game of the Week: Mata-Utu Voodoo vs Banzai Pipeline 'Nites

.


ooh, now I am excited!!!

Voodoomsday Defense locked and loaded
 
Devin00
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Originally posted by Mornacale


BeatPaths Predictions - Week 6
Home Team | Away Team | Confidence
Jersey Wildcats vs. Cook Island Convicts | 200.0



not so close in that prediction a correct one, but alot closer then being 200%
 
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Originally posted by Mornacale

Cascade Cajun Crushers vs. Aussie Cardinals | 162.0
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Damn the spread was only 20. Your prediction was... WAY OFF

 


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