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Forum > Africa AAA League > Africa AAA #1 > League Projector Week 4
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Projections

Lion

Seychelles Island Sea Wolves vs Mozambique Starvin Marvins (38-3) Spread: 35
Port Harcourt Playmakers vs Zimbabwe Beavers (79-10) Spread: 69
Cape Verde Headhunters vs Jupiter Snipers (308-0) Spread: 308
Katanga Diamonds vs Sahara ShadowChasers (54-45) Spread: 9
Fort Wayne Generals vs Ethiopian Starvin' Marvins (438-30) Spread: 408
Gabon Forest Dragons vs Tijuana Thundercats (124-27) Spread: 97
Sun City Undertakers vs South African Bulls (220-0) Spread: 220
Ivory Coast Diamond Hunters vs Beltway Bandits (62-13) Spread: 49

Elephant

Tunis Asps vs Mogadishu Malice (35-25) Spread: 10
Gambia Diamond Cutters vs High Plains Drifters (25-22) Spread: 3
Real Men of Genius vs Kinshasa Rumblers (327-0) Spread: 327
Kilimanjaro Sno-Caps vs River Styx Jinx (29-12) Spread: 17
Casablanca Sultans vs San Dimas Saints (53-16) Spread: 37
Richmond Raiders vs Kibwezi Choppaholix (171-33) Spread: 138
Boston Dogs vs African Arms Dealers (33-15) Spread: 18
Cairo Cannibals vs Mozambique Thundercats (221-9) Spread: 212



RPI Straight from the Spreadsheet


TEAM RPI W L
1. Tunis Asps .556 3 0
2. Gambia Diamond Cutters .736 3 0
3. High Plains Drifters .583 3 0
4. Real Men of Genius .472 2 1
5. San Dimas Saints .667 3 0
6. Kibwezi Choppaholix .472 3 0
7. Kilimanjaro Sno-Caps .583 2 1
8. Mogadishu Malice .583 2 1
9. Casablanca Sultans .611 2 1
10. Richmond Raiders .569 1 2
11. Boston Dogs .514 1 2
12. Cairo Cannibals .528 1 2
13. River Styx Jinx .417 0 3
14. African Arms Dealers .278 0 3
15. Mozambique Thundercats .389 0 3
16. Kinshasa Rumblers .597 0 3

TEAM RPI W L
1. Seychelles Island Sea Wolves .569 3 0
2. Mozambique Starvin Marvins .653 3 0
3. Port Harcourt Playmakers .667 3 0
4. Cape Verde Headhunters .486 1 2
5. Katanga Diamonds .542 1 2
6. Sahara ShadowChasers .431 2 1
7. Fort Wayne Generals .542 2 1
8. Tijuana Thundercats .292 1 2
9. Ethiopian Starvin' Marvins .333 2 1
10. Zimbabwe Beavers .417 1 2
11. Gabon Forest Dragons .444 2 1
12. Sun City Undertakers .236 0 3
13. Ivory Coast Diamond Hunters .556 1 2
14. Beltway Bandits .403 0 3
15. Jupiter Snipers .486 0 3
16. South African Bulls .389 0 3



Projected standings

Lion

1 Seychelles Island Sea Wolves 16 0 0
2 Port Harcourt Playmakers 15 1 0
3 Gabon Forest Dragons 14 2 0
4 Mozambique Starvin Marvins 13 3 0
5 Katanga Diamonds 11 5 0
6 Sahara ShadowChasers 10 6 0
7 Fort Wayne Generals 8 8 0
8 Zimbabwe Beavers 8 8 0
9 Cape Verde Headhunters 8 8 0
10 Ivory Coast Diamond Hunters 7 9 0
11 Tijuana Thundercats 5 11 0
12 Sun City Undertakers 4 12 0
13 Ethiopian Starvin' Marvins 4 12 0
14 Beltway Bandits 2 14 0
15 Jupiter Snipers 0 16 0
16 South African Bulls 0 16 0


Elephant

1 Tunis Asps 16 0 0
2 Richmond Raiders 14 2 0
3 Casablanca Sultans 13 3 0
4 Mogadishu Malice 13 3 0
5 Gambia Diamond Cutters 12 4 0
6 Kibwezi Choppaholix 11 5 0
7 High Plains Drifters 11 5 0
8 Real Men of Genius 9 7 0
9 Kilimanjaro Sno-Caps 8 8 0
10 San Dimas Saints 7 9 0
11 Cairo Cannibals 4 12 0
12 River Styx Jinx 4 12 0
13 Boston Dogs 4 12 0
14 African Arms Dealers 2 14 0
15 Mozambique Thundercats 1 15 0
16 Kinshasa Rumblers 0 16 0



Remember, it's early, so the spreadsheet should be off, at least for some games. I just want to see it changes from week to week.
Last edited Jan 7, 2009 11:36:55
 
csull36
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nah, Dogs will get crushed again this game...
 
.Homeskillet.
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It's pretty cool man. I like the RPI best.
 
csull36
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The spreadsheet seems to be getting more accurate though...
 
Crixtala
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Haha, ESM at 408 point underdogs under the Generals.
 
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Originally posted by Crixtala
Haha, ESM at 408 point underdogs under the Generals.


Yeah that game and the Kibwezi/Richmond game seem the only two that are horribly wrong.

Although, I don't see us beating MSM 38-3.
 
Crixtala
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I guess I just don't understand how the projector works... but we've only lost one game so far, and that was only by one point. Does the projector take the preseason games into account?
 
jdawg011
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i cant see us beating MSM by 35 either...im hoping to pull out another close one like last season. GL robb and MSM
 
chivas
biblioteca n9ne
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LOL I had to laugh Crix, our scores should be reversed
 
KellerFox
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Originally posted by chivas
LOL I had to laugh Crix, our scores should be reversed


Not reversed... but I just cant see either team having a 100 point win in this game let alone even scoring 100 points. I also cant figure out why the projector hates us so much right now, we could/should just as easily be 3-0 right now and that loss was only by 1 point. Im not saying it should have us on the top, I just am not sure where its getting the data to dog us so much.

Then again, it makes it all the funner to beat the Generals since we are a 400 points under dog... if we win this will be the upset of the century! Makes the USC-Stanford game look like nothing.

Last edited Jan 7, 2009 13:31:07
 
chivas
biblioteca n9ne
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lol what do you mean if? You should say WHEN
 
luedecke_d
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Another close game for the Cutters.
 
KellerFox
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Originally posted by chivas
lol what do you mean if? You should say WHEN


You guys have kept every game close despite the level difference, for whatever reason the Generals match up very well against the Marvins. No way in hell do we overlook you.
 
Crixtala
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Originally posted by KellerFox
Originally posted by chivas

lol what do you mean if? You should say WHEN


You guys have kept every game close despite the level difference, for whatever reason the Generals match up very well against the Marvins. No way in hell do we overlook you.


This.
 
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I think the reason for the crazy spreads is due to blowout/cupcake games for one team, but not another. I think that's why Seychelles also has the 35 point spread on MSM. So, as the season goes on and the schedule balances out, the predictions become more accurate.
Last edited Jan 7, 2009 14:14:39
 
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