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Forum > USA A Leagues > USA A #3 > USA A #3 | Week 15 Playoff Scenarios
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sully
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We had several teams clinch last week, and the last few playoff spots are now within sights of the middle of the pack in both conferences! It is possible that every spot in the west could be accounted for by Tuesday night and that two more spots in the east (or more?) could be accounted for as well.

Western Conference
Already Clinched: Fort Richardson Redskins, Omaha BA Mofo's, Portland Aftershocks, Las Vegas Aces, Minnesota Lumberjacks, Birmingham Beavers

1] The Fort Richardson Redskins can clinch Home Field Advantage through the WC Title Game with:
* A win against Las Vegas Aces OR
* A loss by Omaha

2] The Coruscant Death Stars can clinch a playoff spot with:
* A win/tie against Omaha OR
* Losses/ties by both Austin and Gotham City

3] The Panthers Syndicate can clinch a playoff spot with:
* A win/tie against Gotham City AND
* A loss/tie by Austin

Mathematically Eliminated: South Bend Red Raiders, Las Vegas Gamblers, Heavenly Angels, College Station Aggies, Sacramento South Side Psychos, Jersey Shore Hammerheads

Eastern Conference
Already Clinched: DC Corruption (Has clinched HFA through EC Title Game), Cleveland Gladiators, Dirty South Brew Crew, Cincinnati Stoners

1] The Tricity Cardinals can clinch a playoff spot with:
* A win/tie against Indianapolis OR
* A loss by either Middle Tennessee, East Brewton, or El Paso

2] The Indianapolis Inferno can clinch a playoff spot with:
* A win against Tricity AND
* A loss by either Middle Tennessee, East Brewton, or El Paso

3] The Middle Tennessee Fightin' Catfish can clinch a playoff spot with:
* A win against Virginia AND
* Losses by both East Brewton and Miami

4] The East Brewton Warbirds can clinch a playoff spot with:
* A win against Shelby AND
* Losses by Middle Tennessee, Kansas, and New York

Mathematically Eliminated: Shelby Bearcats, Mississippi Rebels, College Station Stallions
Last edited Dec 7, 2008 14:53:31
 
Chriztian
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Deathstars better start hoping for losses from Austin and Gotham City.
 
Vortus
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Damn, if El Paso is gonna make the playoffs, they will have earned it with the teams they have to play. Just had to beat the #5 Cardinals, now facing the #2 Gladiators, and then the #4 Stoners. Damn.
 
Ephraim
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Good luck with that Vortus, especially since it looks like the two teams ahead of you are gonna possibly win their last two games.
 
ShakeNBake
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great job sully!
 
Vortus
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Yeah, how well I know. Nothing wrong with hoping for the improbable to happen though. Both the Gladiators and the Stoner's are damn tough. East Brewton will win at least one, the other is a pretty even match. The Catfish will likely win both. So our hopes are that we can pull a couple upsets, and the Inferno beat the Warbird's. Heheh and Knowing that if things go our way, we will start off with the DC Corruption. Whew!
 
Vortus
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GG Gladiators. Thought we might get one by ya.
 
Ephraim
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Doesn't Fort Richardson already have home field advantage?
 
sully
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Originally posted by Ephraim
Doesn't Fort Richardson already have home field advantage?


Nope. They do not. I will be updating the scenarios tonight, but Fort Worth has NOT clinched home field yet.

Former BBB 6 teams know what's up for the last week of playoff scenarios. It's my end of season playoff seeding probability distribution! This gives a breakdown of every seed, and the likelihood of each team getting said seed.
 
sully
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Here's what happened with today's matches:

Western Conference
Already Clinched: Fort Richardson Redskins, Omaha BA Mofo's, Portland Aftershocks, Las Vegas Aces, Minnesota Lumberjacks, Birmingham Beavers

1] The Fort Richardson Redskins can clinch Home Field Advantage through the WC Title Game with:
* A win against Las Vegas Aces LOSS 26-34OR
* A loss by Omaha WIN 59-14

2] The Coruscant Death Stars can clinch a playoff spot with:
* Losses/ties by both Austin LOSS 0-82 and Gotham City LOSS 7-45

3] The Panthers Syndicate can clinch a playoff spot with:
* A win/tie against Gotham City WIN 45-7AND
* A loss/tie by Austin LOSS 0-82

Results: Coruscant and Panthers clinch the final two playoff spots in the West.

Eastern Conference
Already Clinched: DC Corruption (Has clinched HFA through EC Title Game), Cleveland Gladiators, Dirty South Brew Crew, Cincinnati Stoners

1] The Tricity Cardinals can clinch a playoff spot with:
* A win/tie against Indianapolis WIN 30-14

2] The Indianapolis Inferno can clinch a playoff spot with:
* A win against Tricity LOSS 14-30

3] The Middle Tennessee Fightin' Catfish can clinch a playoff spot with:
* A win against Virginia WIN 31-27AND
* Losses by both East Brewton WIN 148-0 and Miami WIN 58-27

4] The East Brewton Warbirds can clinch a playoff spot with:
* A win against Shelby WIN 148-0 AND
* Losses by Middle Tennessee WIN 31-27, Kansas LOSS 27-58, and New York WIN 59-28

Results: Tricity clinches a playoff spot, and three spots remain up for grabs heading into week 16.
 
HSKRCHMPS
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Nice job Sully, although I believe the Skins have already clinched the #1 seed.
 
sully
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Originally posted by HSKRCHMPS
Nice job Sully, although I believe the Skins have already clinched the #1 seed.


Nope. An Omaha win in game 16 combined with a Ft. Richardson loss would actually give the Mofos the #1 seed.
Last edited Dec 9, 2008 13:28:46
 
Ephraim
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Yeah, but Ft. Richardson isn't gonna lose the last game.
 
sully
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Originally posted by Ephraim
Yeah, but Ft. Richardson isn't gonna lose the last game.


They will probably win, but you can't assume a victory.
 
Ephraim
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Originally posted by sully
Originally posted by Ephraim

Yeah, but Ft. Richardson isn't gonna lose the last game.


They will probably win, but you can't assume a victory.


I can, and I will.
 
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