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Forum > Oceania AA Leagues > Oceania AA #2 > ZETA Conf. Week 5 Projections
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gatorfan
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These are all done with Satchmo N Dizzy's League Projector Template 1.1


Projected Standings

Rk Team W L T % PF PA
1 Christchurch Knightmares 16 0 0 100% 1,543 56
2 Solomon Islands Alchemy 14 2 0 88% 4,069 243
3 Tonga Thunderbirds 14 2 0 88% 2,155 445
4 The Four Horsemen 13 3 0 81% 1,284 411
5 Mauna Kea Chenabogs 12 4 0 75% 1,147 516
6 Cimmerian Barbarians 11 5 0 69% 862 487
7 El Fuego 9 7 0 56% 968 546
8 Dunedin Wolverines 9 7 0 56% 938 374
9 Redscape Diplomats 7 9 0 44% 887 526
10 Coney Island Warriors 7 9 0 44% 1,134 935
11 Chinese Bandits 7 9 0 44% 622 504
12 Tasmania Devils 4 12 0 25% 315 494
13 Uluru Rockies 4 12 0 25% 368 964
14 Tasmania Sand Gnats 2 14 0 13% 370 1,043
15 Brisbane Brown Bears 0 16 0 0% 0 4,361
16 Los Cabolo Sharks 0 16 0 0% 0 4,641



Toughest Remaining Schedule

Opponents'
Rk Team W L T % PF PA
1 Tasmania Sand Gnats 27 21 0 56% 2,349 2,457
2 Redscape Diplomats 27 21 0 56% 2,218 1,677
3 Christchurch Knightmares 27 21 0 56% 2,001 1,134
4 Uluru Rockies 25 23 0 52% 2,606 2,493
5 Solomon Islands Alchemy 25 23 0 52% 1,912 1,879
6 Cimmerian Barbarians 25 23 0 52% 1,893 1,905
7 Los Cabolo Sharks 25 23 0 52% 1,746 1,829
8 El Fuego 24 24 0 50% 2,636 1,655
9 Tasmania Devils 23 25 0 48% 2,499 2,571
10 Tonga Thunderbirds 23 25 0 48% 2,416 2,548
11 Mauna Kea Chenabogs 23 25 0 48% 2,181 1,970
12 Coney Island Warriors 23 25 0 48% 2,156 2,485
13 Chinese Bandits 22 26 0 46% 2,510 2,623
14 The Four Horsemen 22 26 0 46% 2,498 2,510
15 Brisbane Brown Bears 22 26 0 46% 1,698 1,947
16 Dunedin Wolverines 21 27 0 44% 1,853 3,489



Toughest Schedule So Far

Opponents'
Rk Team W L T % PF PA
1 Tonga Thunderbirds 9 3 0 75% 530 192
2 Brisbane Brown Bears 8 4 0 67% 580 327
3 Dunedin Wolverines 7 5 0 58% 898 205
4 Uluru Rockies 7 5 0 58% 687 251
5 Tasmania Devils 7 5 0 58% 530 335
6 The Four Horsemen 7 5 0 58% 486 259
7 Chinese Bandits 7 5 0 58% 310 301
8 Cimmerian Barbarians 6 6 0 50% 809 786
9 Los Cabolo Sharks 6 6 0 50% 523 239
10 El Fuego 6 6 0 50% 257 976
11 Solomon Islands Alchemy 5 7 0 42% 893 806
12 Tasmania Sand Gnats 5 7 0 42% 553 322
13 Mauna Kea Chenabogs 5 7 0 42% 449 770
14 Coney Island Warriors 5 7 0 42% 379 795
15 Christchurch Knightmares 4 8 0 33% 525 1,279
16 Redscape Diplomats 2 10 0 17% 384 950



Toughest Opponents in Defeats

Opponents'
Rk Team W L T % PF PA
1 Cimmerian Barbarians 6 0 0 100% 759 70
2 Chinese Bandits 3 0 0 100% 152 51
3 El Fuego 3 0 0 100% 148 51
4 The Four Horsemen 3 0 0 100% 147 52
5 Coney Island Warriors 5 1 0 83% 346 102
6 Tasmania Devils 7 2 0 78% 489 189
7 Solomon Islands Alchemy 4 2 0 67% 611 68
8 Brisbane Brown Bears 8 4 0 67% 580 327
9 Uluru Rockies 6 3 0 67% 411 193
10 Dunedin Wolverines 4 2 0 67% 306 113
11 Los Cabolo Sharks 6 6 0 50% 523 239
12 Tasmania Sand Gnats 5 7 0 42% 553 322
13 Redscape Diplomats 2 7 0 22% 384 262



Toughest Opponents in Victories

Opponents'
Rk Team W L T % PF PA
1 Tonga Thunderbirds 9 3 0 75% 530 192
2 Dunedin Wolverines 3 3 0 50% 592 92
3 The Four Horsemen 4 5 0 44% 339 207
4 Chinese Bandits 4 5 0 44% 158 250
5 Mauna Kea Chenabogs 5 7 0 42% 449 770
6 Christchurch Knightmares 4 8 0 33% 525 1,279
7 Uluru Rockies 1 2 0 33% 276 58
8 El Fuego 3 6 0 33% 109 925
9 Solomon Islands Alchemy 1 5 0 17% 282 738
10 Cimmerian Barbarians 0 6 0 0% 50 716
11 Tasmania Devils 0 3 0 0% 41 146
12 Coney Island Warriors 0 6 0 0% 33 693
13 Redscape Diplomats 0 3 0 0% 0 688



WEEK 5 GAME PREDICTIONS:

Knightmares 98, Diplomats 3

Thunderbirds 59, Chenabogs 30

Alchemy 164, El Fuego 21

Four Horsemen 35, Wolverines 17

Bandits 212, Sharks 0

Barbarians 47, Warriors 24

Rockies 20, Sand Gnats 17

Devils 74, Brown Bears 0

***I BELIEVE YOUR CRAZY PREDICTIONS ARE A RESULT OF THE LOPSIDED SCORES IN YOUR CONFERENCE. THERE SEEMS TO BE A GRAND CANYON OF DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE TOP AND BOTTOM TEAMS. YOUR PREDICTIONS WILL PROBABLY BE A LITTLE CRAZY UNTIL MIDSEASON***
 
Nirav
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Good stuff....even if it is from a "Gatorfan"
 
gatorfan
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Originally posted by Nirav
Good stuff....even if it is from a "Gatorfan"


Ha! Well, ya know, we do have SOME redeeming qualities.
 
beouf
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11 Chinese Bandits 7 9 0 44% 622 504



thanks for the bulletin board material!
Last edited Sep 28, 2008 15:15:37
 
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Yeah, the Zeta is just going to be off. Gutted teams skew everything in predictions.
 
SWVAHoo
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Very nice job, GF!
Definitely an entertaining read.

Outside the fact that you predict 2 losses for us.
 
KevinM
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14-2 for the Alchemy! Pop that champagne boys, we're going to OAAA!


rofl. This game is so much fun.

Also, I'd like to apologize in advance to El Fuego for the merciless beatdown in a couple hours. We were going to let you guys win by 10 but now we have fan expectations to meet. You understand, right?
 
SWVAHoo
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Originally posted by KevinM
14-2 for the Alchemy! Pop that champagne boys, we're going to OAAA!


rofl. This game is so much fun.

Also, I'd like to apologize in advance to El Fuego for the merciless beatdown in a couple hours. We were going to let you guys win by 10 but now we have fan expectations to meet. You understand, right?


Haha! Fuego's not too bad, I wouldn't upset them...

 
KevinM
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Me? You're the one calling them "not too bad." I'm just having a laugh with the projections!
 
Sarg01
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Originally posted by KevinM
Me? You're the one calling them "not too bad." I'm just having a laugh with the projections!


Difference is CDC already played 'em.

I'm thinking 30-14 Fuego today.
 
KevinM
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Originally posted by Sarg01
Originally posted by KevinM

Me? You're the one calling them "not too bad." I'm just having a laugh with the projections!


Difference is CDC already played 'em.

I'm thinking 30-14 Fuego today.


Are you psychic, or do you just have a time machine?
 
Stubbs
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That IS pretty creepy Sarg
Last edited Sep 29, 2008 14:52:52
 
Sarg01
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I have a ranking system that evaluated their roster, margin of victory (adjusted by opponent) and statistics and had the game down in the 'competitive but Fuego strongly favored' category.

Looking at the sub components is tells me your rush O stood very little chance against their rush D, which meant you wouldn't sustain drives for FGs, but your pass O was strong enough that you might get a few breakaways. Fuego's 30 was a bit of a guess for the results of a balanced offense vs. a slightly outmatched D: 3 TDs, 3 FGs.
 
Sarg01
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Here's the roster score internals for the game:

Score Team Pass Rush PassD RunD SpecTeams
84.4 Fuego 90 86 89 91 56
79.2 Solomon 89 74 84 89 51
 
SWVAHoo
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Originally posted by Sarg01
I have a ranking system that evaluated their roster, margin of victory (adjusted by opponent) and statistics and had the game down in the 'competitive but Fuego strongly favored' category.

Looking at the sub components is tells me your rush O stood very little chance against their rush D, which meant you wouldn't sustain drives for FGs, but your pass O was strong enough that you might get a few breakaways. Fuego's 30 was a bit of a guess for the results of a balanced offense vs. a slightly outmatched D: 3 TDs, 3 FGs.


Using this forumula: what numbers should I pick for the Powerball this week? I'll just adjust a number here and a number there...
 
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