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Forum > Prep Leagues > "Playoffs? Don't talk about - playoffs?! You kidding me? Playoffs?!"
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Novus
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Current Eastern Conference Standings
1 - Hawaiian Kings (11-0)
2 - Palm Bay Palookas (8-3)
3 - New Orleans Jazz Cats (7-3-1)
4 - Jersey Mets (5-6)
5 - Huntsville Rockets (2-9)
6 - The 4th Street Gang (1-10)

Standings if the results of the first round of conference games repeats
1 - Hawaiian Kings (16-0)
2 - New Orleans Jazz Cats (11-4-1)
3 - Palm Bay Palookas (11-5)
4 - Jersey Mets (7-9)
5 - Huntsville Rockets (3-13)
6 - The 4th Street Gang (1-15)

Notes:
- Hawaii is a virtual lock for #1. Palm Bay's only chance would be for Hawaii to drop their games with Palm Bay, New Orleans and Jersey to finish 13-3 while Palm Bay runs the table to finish 13-3, and even then Palm Bay would still need to also win the points-allowed tie-breaker over Hawaii. And New Orleans would need Hawaii to drop those game AND the Huntsville game, and Hawaii already beat Huntsville 89-14 the first time, so that's not happening.

- Although Palm Bay is currently ahead in the standings, they're on-track to finish #3 if the results from the first round of conference games repeats, since that would include Palm Bay losing again to New Orleans. However, if Palm Bay can beat New Orleans while all other results hold true, Palm Bay would finish #2 at 12-4 ahead of New Orleans at 10-5-1.

- Jersey is practically a lock at #4. The only way they could climb higher would be to run the table and also get some upset help from Huntsville and 4th Street. But the only way they could drop lower would be to lose all 5 of their games. If Jersey defeats Huntsville and 4th Street, they clinch the 4-seed.

- Huntsville and 4th Street aren't eliminated yet, but either team would likely need to run the table and would need Jersey to completely meltdown in order to sneak into the 4-spot.

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Current Western Conference Standings
1 - ECE Respawn (9-1-1)
2 - Monmouth Evil Monkeys (6-5)
3 - All-American Crimson Lancers (6-5)
4 - Hood Rich Dotballers (5-6)
5 - Adriatic Sea Wasps (5-6)
6 - Ubu Jary (0-11)

Standings if the results of the first round of conference games repeats
1 - ECE Respawn (14-1-1)
2 - Monmouth Evil Monkeys (9-7)
3 - All-American Crimson Lancers (8-8)
4 - Hood Rich Dotballers (8-8)
5 - Adriatic Sea Wasps (7-9)
6 - Ubu Jary (0-16)

Notes:
- Ubu is not winning a game this season. Period.

- Monmouth and All-American each have very tight windows to somehow take #1. ECE will beat Ubu to pick up win #10 guaranteed, so ECE's worst possible finish if they drop their other 4 games is 10-5-1. If either Monmouth or All-American ran the table, they'd finish 11-5 and steal #1. But if ECE beats Ubu and picks up just one other win to finish 11-4-1, the door slams shut on both Monmouth and All-American. So, all ECE has to do to clinch the 1-seed is beat Ubu and one other team.

- Neither Hood nor Adriatic has a shot at the 1-seed at all. Their best possible records would be 10-6, still below ECE's worst possible record of 10-5-1.

- 2-through-5 is a giant clusterfuck, and there's no point trying to sort it out here. Best advice I can give to any of those teams is, try to win as many of your games as possible, and you'll greatly improve your chances of getting a higher playoff seed! #CaptainObvious
Edited by Novus on Dec 9, 2018 22:41:39
 
Kaybra
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Good read Novus.
Edited by Kaybra on Dec 9, 2018 22:41:03
 
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I will respond after tonight's league games!
 
iStatic
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Love it!
 
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Well MONMOUTH did our part to knock HOOD out!
 
Novus
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Originally posted by F00tballJunkie
Well MONMOUTH did our part to knock HOOD out!


You sure did... first one of the conference game rematches to get flipped!
 
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These last few regular season games already have a play-off feel to them.
 
Novus
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Eastern Conference Standings - after Game 13
1 - Hawaiian Kings (13-0)
2 - Palm Bay Palookas (10-3)
3 - New Orleans Jazz Cats (7-5-1)
4 - Jersey Mets (6-7)
5 - Huntsville Rockets (3-10)
6 - The 4th Street Gang (1-12)

Standings if the remaining games follow the results of the first round of conference games
1 - Hawaiian Kings (16-0)
2 - Palm Bay Palookas (11-5)
3 - New Orleans Jazz Cats (10-5-1)
4 - Jersey Mets (7-9)
5 - Huntsville Rockets (4-12)
6 - The 4th Street Gang (1-15)

Notes:
- Hawaii, Palm Bay and New Orleans have all clinched playoff spots, and 4th Street is officially eliminated from the playoff race.

- Technically, Palm Bay still has a path to #1, but Hawaii would have to lose to Huntsville, 4th Street, and Palm Bay, while the Palookas would need to beat Jersey, New Orleans and Hawaii AND close their 86-point difference in points-allowed. That is not all happening.

- New Orleans's upset loss to Huntsville means Palm Bay now has the inside track to finish #2, but it's not a lock yet. If Palm Bay drops their last 3 games while New Orleans wins their last 3 games, New Orleans would take the 2-seed -- and that scenario is entirely possible, given both teams' remaining schedules. But if Palm Bay gets 1 more win or New Orleans gets 1 more loss, the door slams shut on New Orleans.

- To lock in #3, New Orleans needs either 2 wins, 2 Jersey losses, or a combination of 1 win and 1 Jersey loss.

- The race for the 4-spot is still technically open between Jersey and Huntsville. However, Jersey just needs 1 more win or 1 more Huntsville loss to punch their ticket to the playoffs.

- To take the 4-spot, Huntsville needs 3 more wins and needs Jersey to drop their last 3, AND Huntsville also needs to close their 187-point gap in points-allowed. That's not happening.

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Western Conference Standings - after Game 13
1 - ECE Respawn (11-1-1)
2 - All-American Crimson Lancers (8-5) {Points-allowed: 153}
3 - Monmouth Evil Monkeys (7-6) {Points-allowed: 293}
4 - Adriatic Sea Wasps (6-7) {Points-allowed: 294}
5 - Hood Rich Dotballers (5-8) {Points-allowed: 408}
6 - Ubu Jary (0-13)

Standings with all future games with Ubu Jary counted as wins in advance
1 - ECE Respawn (11-1-1)
2 - All-American Crimson Lancers (8-5) {Points-allowed: 153}
3 - Monmouth Evil Monkeys (8-6) {Points-allowed: 293}
4 - Adriatic Sea Wasps (7-7) {Points-allowed: 294}
5 - Hood Rich Dotballers (6-8) {Points-allowed: 408}
6 - Ubu Jary (0-16)

Standings if the remaining games follow the results of the first round of conference games
1 - ECE Respawn (14-1-1)
2 - All-American Crimson Lancers (9-7) (Head-To-Head: 1-1 / Points allowed: 153)
3 - Monmouth Evil Monkeys (9-7) (Head-To-Head: 1-1 / Points allowed: 293)
4 - Adriatic Sea Wasps (8-8)
5 - Hood Rich Dotballers (6-10)
6 - Ubu Jary (0-16)

Standings if the remaining games follow the standings after Game 13
1 - ECE Respawn (14-1-1)
2 - All-American Crimson Lancers (10-6)
3 - Monmouth Evil Monkeys (9-7)
4 - Adriatic Sea Wasps (7-9)
5 - Hood Rich Dotballers (6-10)
6 - Ubu Jary (0-16)

Notes:
- ECE has officially clinched the 1-seed, and Ubu has officially been eliminated from the playoff race.

- All-American can still technically miss the playoffs, but they would need to drop their last 3 games while Hood would need to win their last 3 games over ECE, Ubu and All-American AND close their 255-point gap in points-allowed. That's not happening.

- With 3 games left, only 3 games separating #2 from #5, and an increasingly complex and growing web of split head-to-head conference games, the remaining playoffs spots are all very much up-in-the-air.

- Monmouth's next game with Ubu Jary is a gimme. If Monmouth also wins Game 15 against Adriatic, Monmouth clinches a spot in the playoffs. If Monmouth loses to Adriatic, they could also clinch a playoff spot by winning Game 16, but that would be against ECE. If Monmouth loses that too, they would STILL clinch a playoff spot if Hood loses one of their remaining games with either All-American or ECE.

- Adriatic's remaining schedule is easier than Hood's, and Adriatic split their games with Hood and has a significant lead in points-allowed. Adriatic has not clinched a playoff spot, but they are well-positioned to keep Hood out and take the 4-spot for themselves -- or even better with some help.
 
Novus
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Update after Game 14:

In the East, Hawaii, Palm Bay and New Orleans all won and Huntsville lost, so the standings are locked in. No matter what happens in Game 15 or 16, the playoffs will be #1 Hawaii vs #4 Jersey and #2 Palm Bay vs #3 New Orleans.

In the West...

- ECE is locked in at #1.

- All-American has clinched a top-3 finish, and while they split their games with #3 Monmouth, they hold a 138-point advantage in points-allowed. So, they can basically clinch the 2-seed with either 1 more win or 1 more Monmouth loss. All-American faces ECE next, but they finish against Hood, and Monmouth has Adriatic and ECE next, so All-American has the inside track to #2.

- Monmouth has clinched a playoff spot, and they can clinch the 3-seed by beating Adriatic in Game 15. If they also upset ECE in Game 16 and All-American drops their last two against ECE and Hood, Monmouth would take the 2-seed! However, if Monmouth drops their last two games, Adriatic would end their season with a win over Ubu to tie Monmouth in both record and head-to-head, and Monmouth has only a 28-point edge in points-allowed, so the 4-seed is still possible for Monmouth.

- Adriatic will face Ubu in Game 16 for a guaranteed win and leads Hood by 160 in points-allowed, so Adriatic has basically clinched a playoff spot and Hood is basically eliminated. And if Adriatic upsets Monmouth, Monmouth loses to ECE, and Adriatic closes their 28-point gap in points-allowed with Monmouth, Adriatic can still take #3.
Edited by Novus on Dec 15, 2018 23:29:12
 
Novus
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Update on the West after Game 15:

All-American lost to ECE and Monmouth defeated Adriatic, so Adriatic is stuck at #4. But with Adriatic's final game against Ubu being a guaranteed win plus their insurmountable edge over Hood in points-allowed, Adriatic can realistically finish no lower than 4, and Hood is eliminated. ECE clinched #1 a while ago, so that leaves All-American and Monmouth fighting over 2 and 3.The Lancers and Monkeys split their games, but the Lancers have a 113-point edge in points allowed. If All-American beats Hood, they clinch #2. If Monmouth loses to ECE, All-American clinches #2 even if they lose to Hood. So, Monmouth's only path to #2 is to upset ECE and for Hood to upset All-American. Regardless, the playoffs will feature ECE vs Adriatic and All-American vs Monmouth, with the only remaining question being whether All-American or Monmouth gets the extra home game playoff revenue.
 
iStatic
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Thanks for the update. Avoiding an unfortunate upset in our conf championship game which I have faith won’t happen.... we may get this 3rd rematch with hawaii after all. Now how to beat them... hmmm
Originally posted by Novus
Update on the West after Game 15:

All-American lost to ECE and Monmouth defeated Adriatic, so Adriatic is stuck at #4. But with Adriatic's final game against Ubu being a guaranteed win plus their insurmountable edge over Hood in points-allowed, Adriatic can realistically finish no lower than 4, and Hood is eliminated. ECE clinched #1 a while ago, so that leaves All-American and Monmouth fighting over 2 and 3.The Lancers and Monkeys split their games, but the Lancers have a 113-point edge in points allowed. If All-American beats Hood, they clinch #2. If Monmouth loses to ECE, All-American clinches #2 even if they lose to Hood. So, Monmouth's only path to #2 is to upset ECE and for Hood to upset All-American. Regardless, the playoffs will feature ECE vs Adriatic and All-American vs Monmouth, with the only remaining question being whether All-American or Monmouth gets the extra home game playoff revenue.


 
Novus
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Originally posted by iStatic
Thanks for the update. Avoiding an unfortunate upset in our conf championship game which I have faith won’t happen.... we may get this 3rd rematch with hawaii after all. Now how to beat them... hmmm


You never know... might be a rematch with us.
 
iStatic
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Originally posted by Novus
You never know... might be a rematch with us.


I would much rather prefer that
 
Novus
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Originally posted by iStatic
I would much rather prefer that


Careful what you wish for.
 
AlBarsch
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Huh, I guess I better start paying attention... MEM not concerned with last game against ECE, they'll blow us out and we'll gear up for Lancers in first round.

Edit: Um, our DC has been full of cares all season and has done a super job, time for me to hold up my end on the O.

Edited by AlBarsch on Dec 18, 2018 02:11:46
 
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